Brondby vs Lyngby Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Brondby 5-2 Lyngby.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Brondby, 27% draw, 26% Lyngby — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Brondby at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brondby vs Lyngby
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1P. PentzG
- 2O. VilladsenD
- 32F. AlvesD
- 4L. BinksD
- 24M. DivkovićD
- 99B. SliszM
- 18M. EjdumM
- 21M. YounisM
- 29M. Frøkjær-JensenM
- 7O. HyseniM
- 38J. AmbækF
- 51O. FengerF
- 37R. CanutD
- 11F. BundgaardF
- 19S. FukudaF
- 15C. WintherM
- 9P. MortensenF
- 3Christopher OlivierD
- 50W. Sonne SchmidG
- 10D. WassM
- 31D. KochenG
- 2O. BuurD
- 24M. GaranangaD
- 12David Helgi AronssonD
- 25R. TytensD
- 19G. FrauloM
- 14L. SandgravM
- 18J. ThomasenM
- 5Oliver HøjerM
- 26F. GytkjærF
- 10Í. ÞorvaldssonF
- 16Z. SertdemirM
- 4C. AllenD
- 35M. AndersonF
- 8M. HeboM
- 6D. KristjánssonD
- 22S. NgaboM
- 1J. ÆgidiusG
- 17W. SteindorssonM
- 30M. FischerD
Form going into Brondby vs Lyngby
Brondby
All competitions we cover
- L0-1FC Copenhagen20 September 2026
- L1-4away to FC Midtjylland14 September 2026
- L0-3Randers FC6 September 2026
- L1-3away to FC Nordsjaelland30 August 2026
- W3-1Silkeborg24 August 2026
Lyngby
All competitions we cover
- L0-4Silkeborg18 September 2026
- D1-1Sonderjyske13 September 2026
- W2-0away to Viborg4 September 2026
- D1-1Odense30 August 2026
- L1-2away to AC Horsens23 August 2026
What these results say
- Brondby conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Brondby failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Brondby had three goals or more.
- Lyngby failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lyngby scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lyngby conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brondby | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 | Lyngby | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Brondby vs Lyngby
- 3 March 2025Brondby 1–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 4 August 2024Lyngby 0–2 BrondbySuperliga
- 26 November 2023Lyngby 3–3 BrondbySuperliga
- 13 August 2023Brondby 3–0 LyngbySuperliga
- 5 March 2023Lyngby 1–0 BrondbySuperliga
Leading scorers: Brondby and Lyngby
Brondby
GoalsAssists
- M. Frøkjær-Jensen51
- O. Hyseni43
Lyngby
GoalsAssists
- S. Colyn53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Brondby beat Lyngby 5–2. The model had made a win for Brondby its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Jacob Brøchner Ambæk 23' for Brondby, Olti Hyseni 31' for Brondby, Jacob Brøchner Ambæk 38' for Brondby, Max Isaac Ejdum 51' for Brondby, Jens Thomasen 66' for Lyngby, Oskar Fenger 76' for Brondby, Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji 83' for Lyngby. On expected goals it finished 2.38–0.77.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Brondby a 23.3% chance to finish in the top four: 28.3% after a win, 19.8% after a draw, 15.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 28.3%, 5 points higher than before the match.
For Lyngby the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 61.6% going in: 48.5% after a win, 61.2% after a draw, 69.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 69.0%, 7.4 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Brondby v Lyngby has moved
First published on 27 Sep at 44% / 28% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 47% / 27% / 26%: the biggest move is Brondby's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Brondby win47%▲ +3
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Lyngby win26%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.