Brondby
vs
Lyngby
Superliga prediction
Our model says: Brondby 1–0 Lyngby
The model makes it 44% Brondby, 28% draw, 28% Lyngby — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Brondby 1.67, Lyngby 1.09.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Brondby vs Lyngby
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Brondby at 44% here. Across 2888 settled matches, 1330 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Brondby vs Lyngby
Brondby
- L0-1FC Copenhagen20 September 2026
- L1-4away to FC Midtjylland14 September 2026
- L0-3Randers FC6 September 2026
- L1-3away to FC Nordsjaelland30 August 2026
- W3-1Silkeborg24 August 2026
Lyngby
- L0-4Silkeborg18 September 2026
- D1-1Sonderjyske13 September 2026
- W2-0away to Viborg4 September 2026
- D1-1Odense30 August 2026
- L1-2away to AC Horsens23 August 2026
What these results say
- Brondby conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Brondby failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Brondby had three goals or more.
- Lyngby failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lyngby scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lyngby conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brondby | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Lyngby | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Brondby vs Lyngby
- 3 March 2025Brondby 1–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 4 August 2024Lyngby 0–2 BrondbySuperliga
- 26 November 2023Lyngby 3–3 BrondbySuperliga
- 13 August 2023Brondby 3–0 LyngbySuperliga
- 5 March 2023Lyngby 1–0 BrondbySuperliga
- 2 October 2022Brondby 3–3 LyngbySuperliga
Leading scorers: Brondby and Lyngby
Brondby
- O. Hyseni3 goals2 assists
Lyngby
- Í. Þorvaldsson3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Brondby carry a model rating of 6.51 against 6.36 for Lyngby. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.67 goals for Brondby and 1.09 for Lyngby. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Brondby rate 0.63 in attack and 1.26 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Lyngby rate 0.57 and 1.52.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Brondby a 0.1% chance of the title and Lyngby 0%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1344 correct results out of 2888 settled predictions (47%), with 275 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Brondby the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.67 expected goals for Brondby against 1.09 for Lyngby. Brondby's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.26 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.52 for Lyngby.