Randers FC vs Viborg Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Randers FC 0-2 Viborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Randers FC, 27% draw, 44% Viborg — fair odds of 3.45, 3.70 and 2.27.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Viborg at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Randers FC vs Viborg
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1P. IzzoG
- 24S. HansenD
- 3D. HøeghD
- 27N. HoplandD
- 44N. DyhrD
- 17M. GreveM
- 8L. PedersenM
- 21A. HenrikssonM
- 11E. MahmoudM
- 7M. ThemsenM
- 30M. SankohF
- 15M. SjølstadD
- 10W. CaddyF
- 32J. StorchG
- 77K. JunkerF
- 36A. CamaraF
- 33C. EdudziF
- 29S. StukerD
- 26H. HoyrupM
- 5O. JonesD
- 20K. KiilerichG
- 26Hjalte BidstrupD
- 4L. KirkegaardD
- 24D. AnyembeD
- 23O. BundgaardD
- 8A. BeckM
- 13J. GrønningM
- 6M. SøndergaardM
- 10S. JalalF
- 19Dorian HanzaF
- 11C. NouckF
- 1L. LundG
- 18R. AlteM
- 36Adam Kleis-KristoffersenF
- 34Philip KellerM
- 33Frederik DamkjerM
- 3V. Lunddal FriðrikssonD
- 41Andreas SøndergaardD
- 25GiulioF
Form going into Randers FC vs Viborg
Randers FC
All competitions we cover
- L2-4away to Sonderjyske20 September 2026
- L1-2Odense13 September 2026
- W3-0away to Brondby6 September 2026
- W2-1Aarhus30 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Midtjylland23 August 2026
Viborg
All competitions we cover
- W4-1FC Nordsjaelland20 September 2026
- D1-1away to Silkeborg13 September 2026
- L0-2Lyngby4 September 2026
- W3-2away to AC Horsens28 August 2026
- W4-0FC Copenhagen23 August 2026
What these results say
- Randers FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Randers FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Randers FC had three goals or more.
- Viborg scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Viborg conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Randers FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
| 3 | Viborg | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Randers FC vs Viborg
- 13 January 2026Randers FC 2–0 ViborgFriendlies Clubs
- 2 November 2025Viborg 3–2 Randers FCSuperliga
- 5 October 2025Randers FC 2–1 ViborgSuperliga
- 1 December 2024Viborg 1–2 Randers FCSuperliga
- 28 July 2024Randers FC 3–1 ViborgSuperliga
Leading scorers: Randers FC and Viborg
Randers FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Themsen51
- M. Sankoh41
Viborg
GoalsAssists
- Dorian Hanza61
- M. Søndergaard43
- C. Nouck33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Viborg won 2–0 at Randers FC. The model had made a win for Viborg its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Dorian Hanza 26' for Viborg, Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 82' for Viborg. On expected goals it finished 1.02–2.18.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Randers FC a 41.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 28.9% after a win, 42.2% after a draw, 47.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 47.3%, 6.2 points higher than before the match.
For Viborg the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 69.5% going in: 77.4% after a win, 66.5% after a draw, 59.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 77.4%, 7.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Randers FC v Viborg has moved
First published on 27 Sep at 30% / 28% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 29% / 27% / 44%: the biggest move is Viborg's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Randers FC win29%▼ −1
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Viborg win44%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.