Randers FC
vs
Viborg
Superliga prediction
Our model says: Randers FC 1–2 Viborg
The model makes it 30% Randers FC, 28% draw, 42% Viborg — fair odds of 3.33, 3.57 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Randers FC 1.22, Viborg 1.66.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Randers FC vs Viborg
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Viborg at 42% here. Across 2888 settled matches, 1330 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Randers FC vs Viborg
Randers FC
- L2-4away to Sonderjyske20 September 2026
- L1-2Odense13 September 2026
- W3-0away to Brondby6 September 2026
- W2-1Aarhus30 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Midtjylland23 August 2026
Viborg
- W4-1FC Nordsjaelland20 September 2026
- D1-1away to Silkeborg13 September 2026
- L0-2Lyngby4 September 2026
- W3-2away to AC Horsens28 August 2026
- W4-0FC Copenhagen23 August 2026
What these results say
- Randers FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Randers FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Randers FC had three goals or more.
- Viborg scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Viborg conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Randers FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 3 | Viborg | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Randers FC vs Viborg
- 13 January 2026Randers FC 2–0 ViborgFriendlies Clubs
- 2 November 2025Viborg 3–2 Randers FCSuperliga
- 5 October 2025Randers FC 2–1 ViborgSuperliga
- 1 December 2024Viborg 1–2 Randers FCSuperliga
- 28 July 2024Randers FC 3–1 ViborgSuperliga
Leading scorers: Randers FC and Viborg
Randers FC
- M. Themsen3 goals1 assists
- E. Mahmoud3 goals1 assists
- M. Sankoh3 goals
Viborg
- M. Søndergaard3 goals2 assists
- A. Beck3 goals1 assists
- C. Nouck3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Randers FC carry a model rating of 6.38 against 6.6 for Viborg. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.22 goals for Randers FC and 1.66 for Viborg. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Randers FC rate 0.57 in attack and 1.46 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Viborg rate 0.75 and 1.23.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Randers FC a 0% chance of the title and Viborg 8.7%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1344 correct results out of 2888 settled predictions (47%), with 275 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Viborg the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.22 expected goals for Randers FC against 1.66 for Viborg. Randers FC's attack/defence rating is 0.57/1.46 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.75/1.23 for Viborg.