26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Newport County vs Grimsby League Two prediction & result

Rodney Parade, Newport
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Newport County 2-1 Grimsby.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% Newport County, 28% draw, 44% Grimsby — fair odds of 3.57, 3.57 and 2.27.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Grimsby at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

M. Dibley-Dias
10'
36'
🔁Mark Sheltonout: Ryley Reynolds
⚽Christian Doidgeassist: Cameron Norman
57'
59'
🔁Iwan Morganout: Andy Cook
59'
🔁Finn Cartwrightout: Sonny Finch
63'
Andy Cook
⚽Shaquille Gwengweassist: Ciaran Brennan
69'
🔁Cameron Normanout: joe thomas
71'
72'
Kieran Green
73'
🔁Charles Vernamout: Reece Staunton
73'
🔁Jayden Sweeneyout: Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor
🔁M. Dibley-Diasout: Aaron Lewis
81'
🔁Shaquille Gwengweout: Gerard Garner
81'
83'
⚽Jordan Wright (OG)
Matty Jacobs
90+2'
🔁Michael Adu-Pokuout: Yahya Bamba
90+4'

Match stats — Newport County vs Grimsby

33%Possession67%
10Shots10
5On target3
7Corners3

Line-ups

Newport County 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. WrightG
  • 22C. NormanD
  • 5L. JenkinsD
  • 4K. CameronD
  • 16M. JacobD
  • 24M. Dibley-DiasM
  • 6C. BrennanM
  • 23M. Adu-PokuM
  • 10H. BigginsM
  • 9S. GwengweM
  • 27C. DoidgeF
Substitutes
  • 7K. EvansM
  • 19G. GarnerF
  • 18A. LewisD
  • 33S. MacDonaldG
  • 20Y. BambaF
  • 8M. SmithM
  • 12Joe ThomasD
Coach: H. Mullins
Grimsby 4-1-4-1
  • 31C. PymG
  • 5H. RodgersD
  • 2M. KacurriD
  • 17C. McJannetD
  • 3J. SweeneyD
  • 29M. SheltonM
  • 28F. CartwrightM
  • 4K. GreenM
  • 7J. WalkerM
  • 30C. VernamM
  • 9Iwan MorganF
Substitutes
  • 39A. CookF
  • 8Cian DoyleM
  • 10S. FinchF
  • 16R. StauntonD
  • 14J. AmaluzorF
  • 11Ryley ReynoldsM
  • 41S. AutonG
Coach: D. Artell

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Newport County144642017+318
6Grimsby145542418+620

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Newport County vs Grimsby

  • 7 February 2026Newport County 0–0 GrimsbyLeague Two
  • 16 August 2025Grimsby 2–1 Newport CountyLeague Two
  • 22 March 2025Grimsby 1–0 Newport CountyLeague Two
  • 16 November 2024Newport County 0–0 GrimsbyLeague Two
  • 6 April 2024Grimsby 1–0 Newport CountyLeague Two

Leading scorers: Newport County and Grimsby

Newport County

GoalsAssists

  • S. Gwengwe50

Grimsby

No player in League Two's leading scorers — 24 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Newport County beat Grimsby 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Grimsby at 44% and given a win for Newport County 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Christian Doidge 57' for Newport County, Shaquille Gwengwe 69' for Newport County, Jordan Wright (own goal) 83' for Grimsby.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.