26 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

Oldham vs Salford City League Two prediction & result

Boundary Park, Oldham
Full time1 – 4

Final score: Oldham 1-4 Salford City.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Oldham, 30% draw, 31% Salford City — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Oldham at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Oldham0%Draw1%Salford City99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽Luke Molyneuxassist: Joe Powell
19'
⚽Kelly N'Mai
⚽Calum Kavanaghassist: Keenan Appiah-Forson
21'
34'
Abraham Odoh
45+2'
Macaulay Langstaff
🔁Noah Chilversout: Kane drummond
45'
57'
⚽Brendan Sarpeng-Wireduassist: Luke Molyneux
62'
🔁Ben Woodburnout: adebola oluwo
62'
🔁Abraham Odohout: Jorge Grant
🔁Ryan Delaneyout: Elliott Nevitt
75'
78'
🔁Kelly N'Maiout: Matt·Butcher
79'
🔁Luke Molyneuxout: Luke Garbutt
🔁Mike·Fondop-Talumout: Favour fawunmi
81'
81'
⚽adebola oluwoassist: Luke Garbutt
84'
🔁Macaulay Langstaffout: Daniel Udoh

Match stats — Oldham vs Salford City

47%Possession53%
18Shots16
3On target7
11Corners5

Line-ups

Oldham 5-3-2
  • 1M. HudsonG
  • 2G. Scott-MorrissD
  • 23R. DelaneyD
  • 24L. TempleD
  • 6E. MontheD
  • 3J. RobsonD
  • 14N. ChilversM
  • 8O. NorburnM
  • 7K. Appiah-ForsonM
  • 10C. KavanaghF
  • 9M. Fondop-TalumF
Substitutes
  • 15K. DrummondF
  • 17F. FawunmiF
  • 20E. NevittF
  • 26Kai PayneM
  • 4T. PettM
  • 16W. SuttonD
  • 22Wilson WilsonG
Coach: Micky Mellon
Salford City 3-4-2-1
  • 1W. NorrisG
  • 4W. AimsonD
  • 17D. ScarrD
  • 24T. AllenD
  • 43L. MolyneuxM
  • 44B. Sarpong-WireduM
  • 6J. PowellM
  • 14A. OdohM
  • 7B. WoodburnF
  • 9M. LangstaffF
  • 10K. N’MaiF
Substitutes
  • 18M. ButcherM
  • 29L. GarbuttD
  • 8J. GrantM
  • 30Kyrell MalcolmM
  • 22A. OluwoD
  • 23D. UdohF
  • 26L. BurgeG
Coach: P. Cklamovski

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Oldham144371519-415
1Salford City1410132515+1031

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Oldham vs Salford City

  • 18 April 2026Oldham 1–2 Salford CityLeague Two
  • 18 October 2025Salford City 1–0 OldhamLeague Two
  • 23 April 2022Oldham 1–2 Salford CityLeague Two
  • 27 November 2021Salford City 2–0 OldhamLeague Two
  • 31 August 2021Oldham 1–0 Salford CityEFL Trophy

Leading scorers: Oldham and Salford City

Oldham

GoalsAssists

  • C. Kavanagh54

Salford City

GoalsAssists

  • M. Langstaff51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Salford City won 4–1 at Oldham. The model had leaned towards a win for Oldham at 39% and given a win for Salford City 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Luke Molyneux 5' for Salford City, Kelly N'Mai 19' for Salford City, Calum Kavanagh 21' for Oldham, Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu 57' for Salford City, adebola oluwo 81' for Salford City.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.