24 July 2026, 00:45 UTC

Defensa Y Justicia vs Aldosivi Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 Aldosivi.

Before kick-off the model made it 18% Defensa Y Justicia, 28% draw, 54% Aldosivi — fair odds of 5.56, 3.57 and 1.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Aldosivi at 54% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
⚽N. Corderoassist: T. Fernandez
28'
J. Pombo
⚽D. Barbona
29'
C. Perez
51'
67'
🔁R. Gonzalezout: M. Garcia
67'
🔁A. Sosaout: A. Palavecino
A. Hausch
68'
🔁A. Hauschout: D. Blanco
70'
71'
T. Fernandez
77'
🔁M. Godoyout: E. Lopez
77'
🔁T. Fernandezout: A. Chavez
🔁M. Rodriguezout: F. Roman
84'
🔁D. Barbonaout: M. J. Cabrera
84'
86'
🔁F. Laurelliout: N. Guzman
90+5'
A. Palavecino

Match stats — Defensa Y Justicia vs Aldosivi

72%Possession28%
15Shots8
5On target3
6Corners2
1.31xG0.52

Goals against chances

Defensa Y Justicia1 from 1.31 xGabout what the chances were worth
Aldosivi1 from 0.52 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Defensa Y Justicia 4-2-3-1
  • 1Matías BorgognoG
  • 33Lucas SoutoD
  • 29Damián FernándezD
  • 21David MartínezD
  • 40Máximo RodríguezD
  • 15Santiago SosaM
  • 8César PérezM
  • 17Agustín HauschM
  • 19David BarbonaM
  • 24Juan Manuel GutiérrezM
  • 9Leandro FernándezF
Substitutes
  • 27Domingo BlancoM
  • 3Fernando RománD
  • 44Jonás CabreraM
  • 36Lautaro AmadeG
  • 6Emiliano AmorD
  • 16Ayrton PortilloM
  • 28Valentín LozaD
  • 2Samuel LuceroD
  • 5Julián LópezM
Coach: Mariano Soso
Aldosivi 4-4-2
  • 23Ignacio ChiccoG
  • 28Santiago MoyaD
  • 33Nicolás ZalazarD
  • 32Joaquin PomboD
  • 17Federico LaurelliD
  • 4Rodrigo GonzálezM
  • 22Alan SosaM
  • 19Lucas CastroM
  • 21Matías GodoyM
  • 9Nicolás CorderoF
  • 27Tomás FernándezF
Substitutes
  • 8Martin GarciaM
  • 11Blas Agustín PalavecinoF
  • 14Elías LópezD
  • 18Andrés ChávezF
  • 7Nathanael GuzmánF
  • 42Lucas AcostaG
  • 25Néstor BreitenbruchD
  • 2Leonardo SigaliD
  • 5Nicolás LinaresM
Coach: Israel Damonte

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Defensa Y Justicia148332013+727
14Aldosivi143291522-711

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Defensa Y Justicia vs Aldosivi

  • 22 January 2026Aldosivi 0–0 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 22 July 2025Defensa Y Justicia 2–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 30 January 2025Aldosivi 0–5 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 11 July 2022Defensa Y Justicia 3–2 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 9 August 2021Aldosivi 1–0 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Defensa Y Justicia vs Aldosivi record →

The result against the call

Defensa Y Justicia and Aldosivi drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Aldosivi at 54% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: N. Cordero 16' for Aldosivi, D. Barbona 29' for Defensa Y Justicia. On expected goals it finished 1.31–0.52.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.