24 July 2026, 19:45 UTC

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Víctor Legrotaglie, Mendoza
Full time1 0

Final score: Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 Central Cordoba de Santiago.

Before kick-off the model made it 60% Gimnasia Mendoza, 15% draw, 25% Central Cordoba de Santiago — fair odds of 1.67, 6.67 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Gimnasia Mendoza at 60% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

24'
🔁Alan Aguerreout: Javier Vallejos
🔁Blas Armoaout: Julian Ceballos
46'
🔁Esteban Fernándezout: Luciano Cingolani
64'
Agustín Modicaassist: Luciano Cingolani
66'
70'
Santiago Moyano
70'
🔁Fernando Martínezout: Alan Laprida
70'
🔁Santiago Moyanoout: José Goméz
78'
🔁Matías Veraout: Lucas González
78'
🔁Ezequiel Nayaout: Martín Cuitiño
🔁Fermin Antoniniout: Nahuel Barboza
82'
🔁Luciano Paredesout: Valentino Simoni
82'
🔁Agustín Modicaout: Lautaro Carrera
83'

Match stats — Gimnasia Mendoza vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

63%Possession37%
22Shots8
7On target3
3Corners3
1.48xG1.49

Goals against chances

Gimnasia Mendoza1 from 1.48 xGabout what the chances were worth
Central Cordoba de Santiago0 from 1.49 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Gimnasia Mendoza
  • 23Cesar RigamontiG
  • 32Luciano ParedesD
  • 2Diego MondinoD
  • 4Ezequiel MuñozD
  • 3Matias RecaldeD
  • 30Esteban FernándezM
  • 21Fermin AntoniniM
  • 26Facundo LencioniM
  • 27Blas ArmoaF
  • 9Agustín ModicaF
  • 17Ignacio SabatiniF
Substitutes
  • 19Julian CeballosM
  • 7Luciano CingolaniF
  • 5Nahuel BarbozaM
  • 35Valentino SimoniF
  • 42Lautaro CarreraM
  • 31Lautaro PetruchiG
  • 41Gerónimo PatrittiM
  • 22Juan FrancoD
  • 15Ulises SánchezM
Coach: Ariel Broggi
Central Cordoba de Santiago
  • 1Alan AguerreG
  • 33Santiago MoyanoD
  • 2Alejandro MacielD
  • 6Facundo MansillaD
  • 3Leonardo MarchiD
  • 20Fernando MartínezM
  • 22Matías VeraM
  • 5Tiago CraveroM
  • 7Diego BarreraM
  • 19Ezequiel NayaF
  • 27Michael SantosF
Substitutes
  • 25Javier VallejosG
  • 13José GomézD
  • 37Alan LapridaF
  • 18Lucas GonzálezM
  • 47Martín CuitiñoF
  • 26Lucas BernabéuD
  • 17Yuri CasermeiroD
  • 55Juan CardozoM
  • 11Horacio TijanovichF
Coach: Lucas Pusineri

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Gimnasia Mendoza9513149+516
15Central Cordoba de Santiago9216511-67

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gimnasia Mendoza vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

  • 24 July 2026Gimnasia Mendoza 1–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 23 January 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–1 Gimnasia MendozaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 9 February 2019Gimnasia Mendoza 2–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoPrimera Nacional
  • 17 April 2018Gimnasia Mendoza 1–1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoTorneo Federal A

Leading scorers: Gimnasia Mendoza and Central Cordoba de Santiago

Gimnasia Mendoza

  • A. Módica12 goals

Central Cordoba de Santiago

  • M. Santos7 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.