Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan Super League prediction & result
Final score: Shanghai Shenhua 0-3 Beijing Guoan.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Shanghai Shenhua, 28% draw, 47% Beijing Guoan — fair odds of 4.00, 3.57 and 2.13.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Chinese Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Beijing Guoan at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
Line-ups
- 1Xue QinghaoG
- 13W. ManafaD
- 6Li SongyiD
- 5Zhu ChenjieD
- 27Chan ShinichiD
- 33Wang HaijianM
- 19L. AsueM
- 17Gao TianyiM
- 15Wu XiM
- 10J. TeixeiraM
- 9Rafael RataoF
- 24Ma ZhenG
- 39D. SunG
- 16Yang ZexiangD
- 26Yang ShuaiD
- 25Zhu YueD
- 2Wang ShilongD
- 36Huang MingD
- 38Wu QipengD
- 30Xie PengfeiM
- 34Hou SenG
- 21Yue Tze-NamD
- 24Abdugheni AbduhamitD
- 5G. RamosD
- 26Bai YangD
- 37Cao YongjingM
- 23DawhanM
- 7SerginhoM
- 17Yang LiyuM
- 29F. AbreuF
- 9Zhang YuningF
- 31S. LiuG
- 4Li LeiD
- 27Wang GangD
- 30Fan ShuangjieD
- 47Deng JiefuD
- 10Zhang XizheM
- 18Wang YuM
- 36Jia FeifanM
- 41Cheng XiM
Form going into Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
All competitions we cover
- W4-1Henan Jianye15 August 2026
- W1-0away to Qingdao Jonoon8 August 2026
Beijing Guoan
All competitions we cover
- W4-2away to Tianjin Teda15 August 2026
- W4-0Sichuan Jiuniu7 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shanghai Shenhua | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 67 | 50 | +17 | 40 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 58 | 36 | +22 | 50 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
- 21 March 2026Beijing Guoan 1–1 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 19 July 2025Beijing Guoan 1–3 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 1 March 2025Shanghai Shenhua 2–2 Beijing GuoanSuper League
- 22 August 2024Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Beijing GuoanFA Cup
- 4 August 2024Beijing Guoan 2–1 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 13 April 2024Shanghai Shenhua 1–1 Beijing GuoanSuper League
Leading scorers: Shanghai Shenhua and Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
GoalsAssists
- Rafael Ratão191
Beijing Guoan
GoalsAssists
- Zhang Yuning157
- Fábio Abreu116
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Beijing Guoan won 3–0 at Shanghai Shenhua. The model had made a win for Beijing Guoan its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: G. Ramos 42' for Beijing Guoan, Cao Yongjing 73' for Beijing Guoan, Zhang Xizhe 86' for Beijing Guoan.