Gimnasia Mendoza
vs
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
The model makes it 37% Gimnasia Mendoza, 24% draw, 39% Talleres Cordoba — fair odds of 2.70, 4.17 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Gimnasia Mendoza 1.60, Talleres Cordoba 1.66.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Gimnasia Mendoza
- L0-1away to Instituto Cordoba9 August 2026
- W2-0Union Santa Fe1 August 2026
- L0-1away to San Lorenzo28 July 2026
- W1-0Central Cordoba de Santiago24 July 2026
- W2-1Defensa Y Justicia4 May 2026
Talleres Cordoba
- W4-0away to Platense3 August 2026
- L1-3Velez Sarsfield30 July 2026
- L0-1away to Newell's Old Boys25 July 2026
- L0-1Belgrano Cordoba9 May 2026
- D1-1away to Union Santa Fe2 May 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Gimnasia Mendoza
- A. Módica7 goals
Talleres Cordoba
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Gimnasia Mendoza carry a model rating of 6.46 against 6.63 for Talleres Cordoba. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Gimnasia Mendoza W-W-L-W-L; Talleres Cordoba D-L-L-L-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.60 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.66 for Talleres Cordoba. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Gimnasia Mendoza rate 0.75 in attack and 1.65 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Talleres Cordoba rate 0.72 and 1.13.
That points to 63% for over two and a half goals and 65% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%).
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Gimnasia Mendoza a 0% chance of the title and Talleres Cordoba 9.2%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Talleres Cordoba the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.6 expected goals for Gimnasia Mendoza against 1.66 for Talleres Cordoba. Gimnasia Mendoza's attack/defence rating is 0.75/1.65 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.72/1.13 for Talleres Cordoba.