Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne Premier Division prediction & result
Final score: Shamrock Rovers 0-0 Shelbourne.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Shamrock Rovers, 28% draw, 30% Shelbourne — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All League of Ireland Premier Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Shamrock Rovers at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne
Line-ups
- 1E. McGintyG
- 5L. GraceD
- 4PicoD
- 3E. StevensD
- 22T. SobowaleM
- 7D. WattsM
- 8M. HealyM
- 29J. ByrneM
- 19A. BrennanM
- 31M. NoonanF
- 10G. BurkeF
- 25L. SteacyG
- 26John O'SullivanM
- 27C. O'SullivanD
- 11J. MulraneyM
- 88J. McGovernF
- 9A. GreeneF
- 24W. FitzgeraldF
- 6D. ClearyD
- 18J. AfolabiF
- 19E. BeachG
- 2S. GannonD
- 16O. CaseyD
- 4K. LedwidgeD
- 18James Barry NorrisD
- 21Jack Henry-FrancisM
- 6J. LunneyM
- 23K. McInroyM
- 27E. CaffreyF
- 20R. FreitasF
- 17D. KellyF
- 55James RocheD
- 44Daniel RingF
- 11M. OdubekoF
- 22S. MooreD
- 25M. MbengD
- 13M. JohnsonG
- 36W. JarvisM
- 14A. CooteM
- 9S. BoydF
Form going into Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
All competitions we cover
- D3-3away to Derry City30 August 2026
- L0-1away to KuPS27 August 2026
- D1-1KuPS20 August 2026
- L1-5away to Egnatia Rrogozhinë13 August 2026
- W3-1Egnatia Rrogozhinë4 August 2026
Shelbourne
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Ajax13 August 2026
- L1-3away to Ajax6 August 2026
- L1-2away to Kalju Nomme30 July 2026
- W5-2Kalju Nomme23 July 2026
What these results say
- Shamrock Rovers conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Shamrock Rovers failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Shamrock Rovers scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Shelbourne scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Shelbourne conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Shelbourne had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 58 | 35 | +23 | 68 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 49 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Shamrock Rovers and Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
GoalsAssists
- J. McGovern107
- G. Burke84
Shelbourne
GoalsAssists
- H. Wood85
- D. Kelly84
- J. Martin82
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Shamrock Rovers and Shelbourne drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Shamrock Rovers at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.