4 September 2026, 22:00 UTC

Belgrano Cordoba vs Huracan Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra, Cordoba
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 Huracan.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Belgrano Cordoba, 27% draw, 28% Huracan — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Belgrano Cordoba at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Belgrano Cordoba5%Draw92%Huracan3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Emiliano Rigoni
24'
•Máximo Palazzo
29'
Lisandro López
34'
57'
🔁F. F. Waller Martiarenaout: J. Bisanz
🔁J. Velazquezout: R. Hernandes
58'
⚽N. Fernandezassist: R. Hernandes
61'
68'
🔁F. Kalingerout: E. Ojeda
68'
🔁L. Gilout: B. Barticciotto
🔁F. Vazquezout: F. Gonzalez
73'
🔁N. Fernandezout: L. Passerini
74'
🔁A. Sanchezout: S. Longo
79'
83'
César Ibáñez
84'
⚽J. Caicedoassist: C. Ibanez
86'
🔁C. Ibanezout: L. Lescano
86'
🔁O. Cortesout: T. Peralta
⚽Lucas Passerini (pen)
90+9'
90+4'
Jordy Caicedo

Match stats — Belgrano Cordoba vs Huracan

55%Possession45%
21Shots7
8On target3
6Corners3
3.28xG0.96

Goals against chances

Belgrano Cordoba1 from 3.28 xGless than the chances were worth
Huracan1 from 0.96 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1
  • 25T. CardozoG
  • 26A. J. Benitez CabreraD
  • 14L. MoralesD
  • 17L. LopezD
  • 3A. SporleD
  • 20F. VazquezM
  • 21A. SanchezM
  • 24E. RigoniM
  • 10L. ZelarayanM
  • 53J. VelazquezM
  • 22N. FernandezF
Substitutes
  • 23M. VicentiniG
  • 16F. RiccaD
  • 2A. MaldonadoD
  • 8R. Hernandes
  • 37L. GutierrezF
  • 19S. Gatti
  • 5S. LongoM
  • 15R. TulianM
  • 9L. PasseriniF
Coach: Ricardo Zielinski
Huracan 4-2-3-1
  • 1H. GalindezG
  • 2L. BlondelD
  • 21H. NervoD
  • 35M. PalazzoD
  • 25C. IbanezD
  • 5Rodrigo FernandezM
  • 15F. F. Waller MartiarenaM
  • 24F. KalingerM
  • 8L. GilM
  • 7O. CortesM
  • 9J. CaicedoF
Substitutes
  • 32S. MezaG
  • 6F. PereyraD
  • 4F. VeraD
  • 34I. CampoD
  • 19L. LescanoD
  • 20E. OjedaM
  • 11T. PeraltaM
  • 10O. RomeroM
  • 41L. MoraF
Coach: Diego Martinez

Form going into Belgrano Cordoba vs Huracan

Belgrano Cordoba

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Atletico Tucuman30 August 2026
  • L1-2Defensa Y Justicia23 August 2026
  • W2-0Independiente Rivadavia15 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Banfield10 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Tigre6 August 2026

Huracan

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto29 August 2026
  • D0-0Deportivo Riestra23 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Sarmiento Junin16 August 2026
  • W2-0away to San Lorenzo9 August 2026
  • D0-0Atletico Tucuman4 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Belgrano Cordoba146441411+322
8Huracan145451214-219

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Belgrano Cordoba and Huracan

Belgrano Cordoba

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Huracan

GoalsAssists

  • J. Caicedo140

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Belgrano Cordoba and Huracan drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Belgrano Cordoba at 45% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: N. Fernandez 61' for Belgrano Cordoba, J. Caicedo 84' for Huracan. On expected goals it finished 3.28–0.96.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.