Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Premier Division prediction & result
Final score: Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Bohemians.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Shamrock Rovers, 29% draw, 37% Bohemians — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Published · updated
All League of Ireland Premier Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bohemians at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1E. McGintyG
- 6D. ClearyD
- 4PicoD
- 5L. GraceD
- 22T. SobowaleM
- 8M. HealyM
- 7D. WattsM
- 24W. FitzgeraldM
- 29J. ByrneM
- 10G. BurkeM
- 88J. McGovernF
- 25L. SteacyG
- 27C. O'SullivanD
- 11J. MulraneyM
- 26John O'SullivanM
- 28N. RaziF
- 19A. BrennanM
- 18J. AfolabiF
- 9A. GreeneF
- 31M. NoonanF
- 25P. WaltersG
- 16D. PowerD
- 12P. HickeyD
- 22S. ToddD
- 6J. FloresD
- 10D. DevoyM
- 17A. McDonnellM
- 11D. RooneyM
- 26R. TierneyM
- 7C. ParsonsM
- 9C. WhelanF
- 41P. MaddenF
- 18D. James-TaylorF
- 5S. DialloM
- 8H. VaughanM
- 32M. StrodsM
- 3R. BurkeD
- 4N. MorahanM
- 1K. ChorążkaG
- 21Josh AdamM
Form going into Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
All competitions we cover
- D3-3away to Derry City30 August 2026
- L0-1away to KuPS27 August 2026
- D1-1KuPS20 August 2026
- L1-5away to Egnatia Rrogozhinë13 August 2026
- W3-1Egnatia Rrogozhinë4 August 2026
Bohemians
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to FC Midtjylland13 August 2026
- L0-2FC Midtjylland6 August 2026
- L2-3away to Ballkani30 July 2026
- W2-1Ballkani22 July 2026
What these results say
- Shamrock Rovers conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Shamrock Rovers failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Shamrock Rovers scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bohemians conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Bohemians failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Bohemians scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 58 | 35 | +23 | 68 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 42 | +18 | 62 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians
- 25 May 2026Bohemians 1–2 Shamrock RoversPremier Division
- 17 April 2026Shamrock Rovers 2–1 BohemiansPremier Division
- 27 February 2026Bohemians 3–2 Shamrock RoversPremier Division
- 26 September 2025Shamrock Rovers 2–1 BohemiansPremier Division
- 23 June 2025Bohemians 2–0 Shamrock RoversPremier Division
Leading scorers: Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
GoalsAssists
- J. McGovern107
- G. Burke84
Bohemians
GoalsAssists
- C. Whelan136
- R. Tierney113
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.