Drita
vs
Floriana
Final score: Drita 2-1 Floriana.
Before kick-off the model made it 69% Drita, 17% draw, 14% Floriana — fair odds of 1.45, 5.88 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Drita 2.64, Floriana 1.14.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%, under 2.5: 27%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Match stats: Drita vs Floriana
Goals: P. Mbong 40' for Floriana, J. Pellumbi 88' for Drita, Kauan (own goal) 91' for Drita.
Head-to-head: Drita vs Floriana
- 28 July 2026Drita 0–0 FlorianaUEFA Europa Conference League
- 21 July 2026Floriana 1–1 DritaUEFA Europa Conference League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Drita the highest probability at 69%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.64 expected goals for Drita against 1.14 for Floriana. Drita's attack/defence rating is 0.58/1.77 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/2.41 for Floriana.