28 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

Drita vs Floriana UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Drita 2-1 Floriana.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Drita, 25% draw, 31% Floriana — fair odds of 2.27, 4.00 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Drita at 44% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
Myles Beerman
Igball Jashari
33'
Liridon Balaj
35'
40'
⚽P. Mbongassist: F. Varela
🔁L. Balajout: A. Manaj
46'
52'
Amar Drina
🔁K. Abazajout: W. Baeten
60'
🔁V. Limajout: A. Bytyci
60'
🔁H. Salihuout: R. Ovouka
60'
67'
🔁P. Mbongout: R. Muric
67'
🔁D. Vellaout: Chapi
William Baeten
69'
81'
🔁T. Gudeljout: Z. Scerri
Jorgo Pëllumbi
83'
84'
Kenan Dervišagić
🔁I. Jashariout: R. Broja
87'
⚽J. Pellumbiassist: R. Ovouka
88'
Blerton Sheji
90'
90+3'
🔁K. Dervisagicout: C. Zammit Lonardelli
⚽Kauan (OG)
91'
Albert Dabiqaj
93'
Arb Manaj
95'
95'
Zachary Scerri
🔁B. Krasniqiout: K. Nguena
109'
120+1'
Carlo Zammit Lonardelli

Line-ups

Drita 4-3-3
  • 1F. MalokuG
  • 2B. KrasniqiD
  • 55H. SalihuD
  • 32J. PellumbiD
  • 3B. ShejiD
  • 8V. LimajM
  • 77K. AbazajF
  • 14A. DabiqajM
  • 10L. BalajM
  • 19B. KrasniqiF
  • 7I. JashariM
Substitutes
  • 22L. BehluliG
  • 74E. Isufi
  • 4R. BrojaM
  • 9A. ManajF
  • 17O. GrezdaF
  • 24W. BaetenM
  • 25A. BytyciD
  • 26R. OvoukaD
  • 28A. MjakiD
Coach: Zekirija Ramadani
Floriana 4-3-3
  • 23G. Cioletti
  • 17O. SpiteriD
  • 6A. Drina
  • 4Kauan
  • 3M. BeermanD
  • 9K. DervisagicF
  • 14A. KurtalicM
  • 12D. VellaM
  • 22T. Gudelj
  • 10F. VarelaM
  • 28P. MbongM
Substitutes
  • 80P. PiconG
  • 5G. RodgersD
  • 8Z. ScerriM
  • 11R. MuricM
  • 16Chapi
  • 20E. PiscopoM
  • 21C. Zammit LonardelliM
  • 27Z. Vella NewellM
Coach: Daniel Portela

Form going into Drita vs Floriana

Drita

  • D1-1away to Floriana21 July 2026

Floriana

  • D1-1Drita21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Drita vs Floriana

  • 28 July 2026Drita 2–1 FlorianaUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 21 July 2026Floriana 1–1 DritaUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.