Sevilla vs Valencia La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Sevilla 1-0 Valencia.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Sevilla, 31% draw, 31% Valencia — fair odds of 2.63, 3.23 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sevilla at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sevilla vs Valencia
Line-ups
- 1O. VlachodimosG
- 2Juan IglesiasD
- 5Andrés CastrínD
- 4Kike SalasD
- 17G. SuazoD
- 30M. SierraM
- 6L. AgouméM
- 24Y. FofanaM
- 20Félix CorreiaM
- 19L. StassinF
- 16IsaacF
- 22José Ángel CarmonaD
- 14Manu BuenoM
- 3Julio Díaz del RomoD
- 21C. EjukeF
- 10Peque FernándezF
- 7Alfon GonzálezF
- 13Fran GonzálezG
- 18Jon GuridiM
- 8G. KochorashviliM
- 1S. DimitrievskiG
- 22Arnau MartínezD
- 5César TárregaD
- 18PepeluD
- 14José GayàD
- 27David OtorbiM
- 15A. DiengM
- 23F. UgrinicM
- 39R. SatoM
- 8Javi GuerraM
- 7A. DanjumaF
- 36Iker CórdobaD
- 9Hugo DuroF
- 38Jaume DuráM
- 10H. ElliottM
- 24Pablo MaffeoD
- 33Aaron MayolM
- 29Alex PanachD
- 19Dani RabaF
- 21Jesús VázquezD
Form going into Sevilla vs Valencia
Sevilla
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Espanyol6 September 2026
- L1-3Atletico Madrid29 August 2026
- W3-1away to Athletic Club22 August 2026
- W2-1Rayo Vallecano15 August 2026
Valencia
All competitions we cover
- L0-5Barcelona6 September 2026
- L1-3away to Deportivo La Coruna30 August 2026
- L0-1Real Betis25 August 2026
- D0-0Celta Vigo22 August 2026
What these results say
- Sevilla scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Sevilla conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Sevilla.
- Valencia did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Valencia failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Valencia conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sevilla vs Valencia
- 21 March 2026Sevilla 0–2 ValenciaLa Liga
- 7 December 2025Valencia 1–1 SevillaLa Liga
- 11 April 2025Valencia 1–0 SevillaLa Liga
- 11 January 2025Sevilla 1–1 ValenciaLa Liga
- 17 February 2024Valencia 0–0 SevillaLa Liga
Leading scorers: Sevilla and Valencia
Sevilla
GoalsAssists
- Isaac31
Valencia
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sevilla beat Valencia 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Sevilla at 38%. The goal: Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez 81' for Sevilla.