25 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

Servette FC vs FC Basel 1893 Super League prediction & result

Geneva
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Servette FC 0-1 FC Basel 1893.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% Servette FC, 22% draw, 10% FC Basel 1893 — fair odds of 1.47, 4.55 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Servette FC at 68% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
🔁M. Cisseout: C. Louis
69'
🔁L. Thorellout: L. Leroy
69'
🔁X. Shaqiriout: A. Ajeti
69'
🔁P. Oteleout: K. Olaigbe
🔁F. Ayeout: S. Mraz
69'
78'
⚽Z. Celar (pen)
🔁M. Lambourdeout: T. Ouattara
78'
🔁L. Njohout: T. Nunez
85'
🔁H. Mendesout: Q. Maceiras
85'

Match stats — Servette FC vs FC Basel 1893

57%Possession43%
19Shots12
4On target1
11Corners5
1.06xG1.61

Goals against chances

Servette FC0 from 1.06 xGless than the chances were worth
FC Basel 18931 from 1.61 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Servette FC
  • 78Léo BessonG
  • 17Houboulang MendesD
  • 4Steve RouillerD
  • 15Marco BurchD
  • 18Bradley MazikouD
  • 22Mathis LambourdeM
  • 6Pedro NaressiM
  • 8Timothé CognatM
  • 14Lilian NjohM
  • 9Miroslav StevanovićF
  • 97Florian AyéF
Substitutes
  • 90Samuel MrázF
  • 77Tiemoko OuattaraF
  • 23Quentin MaceirasD
  • 41Tristan NunezF
  • 44Louis RiederG
  • 34Teo AllixD
  • 35Alonzo VincentM
  • 28David DoulineM
  • 11Lamine FombaM
Coach: Jocelyn Gourvennec
FC Basel 1893
  • 13Mirko SalviG
  • 6Keigo TsunemotoD
  • 24Flavius DaniliucD
  • 55Akpe VictoryD
  • 29Moussa CisséD
  • 5MetinhoM
  • 8Ludwig ThorellM
  • 18Asane SowM
  • 10Xherdan ShaqiriM
  • 7Philip OteleM
  • 9Žan CelarF
Substitutes
  • 25Coleen LouisD
  • 22Leo LeroyM
  • 11Kazeem OlaigbeF
  • 23Albian AjetiF
  • 49Renato Widmer D'AutiliaG
  • 4Bećir OmeragićD
  • 3Nicolas VouillozD
  • 14Andrej BačaninM
  • 21Ibrahim SalahF
Coach: Stephan Lichtsteiner

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Servette FC115151614+216
7FC Basel 1893114251720-314

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Servette FC vs FC Basel 1893

  • 15 March 2026FC Basel 1893 3–1 Servette FCSuper League
  • 20 December 2025FC Basel 1893 1–1 Servette FCSuper League
  • 5 October 2025Servette FC 0–3 FC Basel 1893Super League
  • 4 May 2025FC Basel 1893 5–1 Servette FCSuper League
  • 9 February 2025Servette FC 2–1 FC Basel 1893Super League

Leading scorers: Servette FC and FC Basel 1893

Servette FC

GoalsAssists

  • K. Mutandwa50

FC Basel 1893

GoalsAssists

  • Ž. Celar61
  • A. Sow34
  • X. Shaqiri31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Basel 1893 won 1–0 at Servette FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Servette FC at 68% and given a win for FC Basel 1893 10%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 10 matches like this one. The goal: Z. Celar (penalty) 78' for FC Basel 1893. On expected goals it finished 1.06–1.61.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.