26 July 2026, 12:00 UTC

BSC Young Boys vs FC Sion Super League prediction & result

Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
Full time4 – 2

Final score: BSC Young Boys 4-2 FC Sion.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% BSC Young Boys, 20% draw, 33% FC Sion — fair odds of 2.13, 5.00 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts BSC Young Boys at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

L. Blum
8'
⚽L. Blum
22'
🔁A. Virginiusout: K. Imeri
25'
⚽A. Sanchesassist: K. Imeri
40'
43'
A. Kabacalman
45+1'
⚽J. Kronigassist: Baltazar
46'
🔁T. Berdayesout: F. Surdez
46'
🔁L. Chipperfieldout: F. Sylla
46'
🔁J. Lukembilaout: W. Boteli
56'
⚽W. Boteliassist: F. Surdez
🔁A. Gigovicout: D. Pech
57'
🔁S. Bukinacout: J. Hadjam
57'
⚽S. Essendeassist: K. Imeri
66'
71'
N. Sow
⚽S. Essende (pen)
73'
74'
🔁I. Chouarefout: R. Nivokazi
75'
🔁A. Kabacalmanout: D. Rrudhani
🔁J. Monteiroout: L. Benito
77'
🔁L. Blumout: I. Schmidt
77'

Match stats — BSC Young Boys vs FC Sion

42%Possession58%
19Shots19
9On target5
6Corners4
2.49xG1.76

Goals against chances

BSC Young Boys4 from 2.49 xGmore than the chances were worth
FC Sion2 from 1.76 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

BSC Young Boys 4-4-1-1
  • 18Joel MallG
  • 33Stefan BukinacD
  • 30Sandro LauperD
  • 15Cedric ZesigerD
  • 27Lewin BlumD
  • 7Alan VirginiusM
  • 8Armin GigovićM
  • 6Edimilson FernandesM
  • 11Joël MonteiroM
  • 10Alvyn SanchesF
  • 99Samuel EssendeF
Substitutes
  • 29Kastriot ImeriM
  • 3Jaouen HadjamD
  • 13Dominik PechM
  • 23Loris BenitoD
  • 22Isaac SchmidtD
  • 40Dario MarzinoG
  • 5Gregory WüthrichD
  • 39Darian MalešM
  • 25Felix TsimbaF
Coach: Gerardo Seoane
FC Sion 4-4-1-1
  • 1Anthony RacioppiG
  • 14Numa LavanchyD
  • 5Noé SowD
  • 17Jan KronigD
  • 20Nias HeftiD
  • 21Liam Scott ChipperfieldM
  • 88Ali KabacalmanM
  • 8BaltazarM
  • 7Ylyas ChouarefM
  • 29Théo BerdayesF
  • 9Josias LukembilaF
Substitutes
  • 37Fode SyllaM
  • 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
  • 19Franck SurdezF
  • 33Rilind NivokaziF
  • 77Donat RrudhaniM
  • 12Francesco RubertoG
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 38Ryan KesslerD
  • 22Adrien LlukesM
Coach: Didier Tholot

Form going into BSC Young Boys vs FC Sion

BSC Young Boys

No earlier matches on record this season.

FC Sion

  • D1-1away to Bate Borisov23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2BSC Young Boys84402816+1216
3FC Sion75021711+615

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: BSC Young Boys vs FC Sion

  • 26 July 2026BSC Young Boys 4–2 FC SionSuper League
  • 17 May 2026BSC Young Boys 3–3 FC SionSuper League
  • 22 February 2026FC Sion 3–1 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 7 December 2025FC Sion 2–0 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 10 August 2025BSC Young Boys 0–0 FC SionSuper League
  • 8 February 2025BSC Young Boys 5–1 FC SionSuper League

Leading scorers: BSC Young Boys and FC Sion

BSC Young Boys

  • S. Essende8 goals3 assists
  • C. Fassnacht4 goals1 assists
  • A. Sanches3 goals4 assists

FC Sion

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango5 goals3 assists
  • D. Rrudhani3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.