Lausanne vs Grasshoppers Super League prediction & result
Final score: Lausanne 1-1 Grasshoppers.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Lausanne, 27% draw, 28% Grasshoppers — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lausanne at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lausanne vs Grasshoppers
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 90Melvin MastilG
- 2Brandon SoppyD
- 14Kevin MouangaD
- 71Abdou Karim SowD
- 18Morgan PoatyD
- 10Olivier CustodioM
- 8Jamie RocheM
- 51Ibrahim Bah MendesM
- 27Beyatt LekoueiryM
- 11Nathan Butler-OyedejiM
- 78Omar JannehF
- 23Konrad de la FuenteF
- 91Florent MolletM
- 80Sekou KoneM
- 1Thomas CastellaG
- 5Dircssi NgonzoD
- 6Theo BergvallD
- 7Alban AjdiniF
- 17Seydou TraoreF
- 49Ilija DespotovicF
- 71Justin HammelG
- 28Simone StroscioD
- 73Dorian PaloschiD
- 4Luka MikulicD
- 57Nico RissiD
- 6Amir AbrashiM
- 8Tim MeyerM
- 5Hassane ImouraneM
- 10Óscar ClementeF
- 9Nikolas MuciF
- 17Samuel KrasniqiF
- 15Abdoulaye DiabyD
- 7Luke PlangeF
- 56Denis SahinM
- 60Samuele BengondoF
- 1Marvin HübelG
- 22Pantaleo CretiD
- 23Samuel MarquesM
- 55Dominik PapicM
- 14Alieu ConatehF
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lausanne | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lausanne vs Grasshoppers
- 16 May 2026Lausanne 1–3 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 8 March 2026Grasshoppers 2–3 LausanneSuper League
- 24 January 2026Lausanne 1–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 14 September 2025Grasshoppers 3–1 LausanneSuper League
- 22 February 2025Lausanne 2–2 GrasshoppersSuper League
The result against the call
Lausanne and Grasshoppers drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Lausanne at 45% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: I. Bah Mendes 33' for Lausanne, S. Bengondo 81' for Grasshoppers. On expected goals it finished 0.79–0.71.