Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0-2 Dinamo Bucuresti.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, 31% draw, 44% Dinamo Bucuresti — fair odds of 4.00, 3.23 and 2.27.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Bucuresti at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 91D. LazarG
- 2CascardoD
- 82D. VîrtejD
- 31L. RoseD
- 3Fábio ViannaD
- 28V. DaguinM
- 6N. PăunM
- 7R. SilaghiM
- 17D. AndreiF
- 14M. MawaF
- 23Hunor BatzulaF
- 11D. OberlinF
- 25B. OtelițăD
- 88C. DavordzieF
- 27Raul CîmpeanF
- 9B. CmiljanićF
- 77A. AganovićM
- 21A. DobrosavleviciD
- 19G. GhimfușM
- 33S. GyengeG
- 36A. BellaarouchG
- 20D. IrimiaD
- 44Martín PascualD
- 15N. StoioanovD
- 31R. OpruțD
- 77D. ArmstrongM
- 29Alberto SoroM
- 90A. MărgineanM
- 10C. CîrjanM
- 97D. ZandbergenF
- 9M. KaramokoF
- 30M. DuțuD
- 18O. HintsaF
- 5Imran FetaiD
- 26A. MaziluF
- 21Cristian Petrișor MihaiM
- 66S. OprișM
- 19R. RaduD
- 73A. RoșcaG
- 23I. TarbaF
Form going into Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Uta Arad18 September 2026
- W3-1CFR 1907 Cluj12 September 2026
- L0-5away to FC Botosani5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Arges Pitesti29 August 2026
- D1-1Farul Constanta23 August 2026
Dinamo Bucuresti
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Farul Constanta20 September 2026
- W3-1away to Csikszereda11 September 2026
- W2-1FCSB5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Corvinul Hunedoara29 August 2026
- W2-1Universitatea Cluj22 August 2026
What these results say
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Bucuresti went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Bucuresti scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Bucuresti won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 18 |
| 2 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 11 | +21 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti
- 30 November 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 27 July 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 4 December 2023Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 31 July 2023Dinamo Bucuresti 0–3 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 8 November 2022Dinamo Bucuresti 2–3 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheCupa României
- 20 March 2022Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
Leading scorers: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Dinamo Bucuresti
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Dinamo Bucuresti
GoalsAssists
- D. Armstrong610
- Martín Pascual50
- Alberto Soro44
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dinamo Bucuresti won 2–0 at Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. The model had made a win for Dinamo Bucuresti its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Martin Pascual 24' for Dinamo Bucuresti, Alberto Soro 36' for Dinamo Bucuresti. On expected goals it finished 0.90–2.58.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe a 15.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 8.9% after a win, 14.0% after a draw, 18.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 18.2%, 3.2 points higher than before the match.
For Dinamo Bucuresti the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 34.9% going in: 40.5% after a win, 32.1% after a draw, 27.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 40.5%, 5.6 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe v Dinamo Bucuresti has moved
First published on 26 Sep at 27% / 32% / 41% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 25% / 31% / 44%: the biggest move is Dinamo Bucuresti's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win25%▼ −2
- Draw31%▼ −1
- Dinamo Bucuresti win44%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.