CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj Liga I prediction & result
Final score: CFR 1907 Cluj 1-3 Universitatea Cluj.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% CFR 1907 Cluj, 27% draw, 29% Universitatea Cluj — fair odds of 2.27, 3.70 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
CFR 1907 Cluj at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj
Line-ups
- 31O. VâlceanuG
- 47C. BraunD
- 3I. GelashviliD
- 14Simão RochaD
- 86V. KunM
- 6O. PerianuM
- 18E. OmićM
- 45M. CamoraM
- 11A. CordeaF
- 9S. DražićF
- 7A. NalićF
- 23A. ZiblimM
- 96Á. TordaiG
- 40Leonard SacaD
- 10A. PaunM
- 77A. SfaitM
- 17L. BilibocF
- 19S. BușF
- 99J. DumasF
- 1R. GalG
- 1Ştefan Daniel LefterG
- 24D. MikanovićD
- 6I. CristeaD
- 8D. CodreaD
- 27A. ChipciuD
- 18Pedro PinhoM
- 94O. BicM
- 19I. MacalouM
- 10D. NistorM
- 29O. MendyM
- 25A. AlievF
- 23E. CapradossiD
- 2A. ChinteÈD
- 7M. DrammehM
- 12A. FridayM
- 77A. GheorghițăF
- 17J. LukićF
- 93N. MichaelG
- 96L. PallF
- 22F. PouloloD
Form going into CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj
CFR 1907 Cluj
All competitions we cover
- W3-1FC Botosani19 September 2026
- L1-3away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe12 September 2026
- D0-0Farul Constanta4 September 2026
- W3-2away to Csikszereda29 August 2026
- W1-0FCSB23 August 2026
Universitatea Cluj
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to FC Voluntari20 September 2026
- W3-0Oțelul14 September 2026
- L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova7 September 2026
- L2-3Petrolul Ploiesti28 August 2026
- L1-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti22 August 2026
What these results say
- CFR 1907 Cluj scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Cluj scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Universitatea Cluj had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 19 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj
- 25 April 2026CFR 1907 Cluj 1–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 16 March 2026Universitatea Cluj 2–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 7 February 2026CFR 1907 Cluj 3–2 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 29 September 2025Universitatea Cluj 2–2 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 3 May 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 1–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 31 March 2025Universitatea Cluj 1–0 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
Leading scorers: CFR 1907 Cluj and Universitatea Cluj
CFR 1907 Cluj
GoalsAssists
- S. Dražić71
- A. Cordea62
Universitatea Cluj
GoalsAssists
- J. Lukić73
- A. Aliev62
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Universitatea Cluj won 3–1 at CFR 1907 Cluj. The model had leaned towards a win for CFR 1907 Cluj at 44% and given a win for Universitatea Cluj 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Stefan Dražić 12' for CFR 1907 Cluj, Issouf Macalou (penalty) 51' for Universitatea Cluj, Oucasse Mendy 55' for Universitatea Cluj, Issouf Macalou 71' for Universitatea Cluj.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave CFR 1907 Cluj a 29.9% chance to finish in the top four: 35.7% after a win, 26.2% after a draw, 20.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 20.3%, 9.6 points lower than before the match.
For Universitatea Cluj the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 39.1% going in: 48.9% after a win, 40.2% after a draw, 33.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 48.9%, 9.8 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on CFR 1907 Cluj v Universitatea Cluj has moved
First published on 24 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 44% / 27% / 29%: the biggest move is CFR 1907 Cluj's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- CFR 1907 Cluj win44%▲ +3
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Universitatea Cluj win29%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.