Regular Season - 11 · 10 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari Liga I prediction

Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, Arad

Our model says: Corvinul Hunedoara 1–0 FC Voluntari

The model makes it 52% Corvinul Hunedoara, 27% draw, 21% FC Voluntari — fair odds of 1.92, 3.70 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (12%).

Expected goals: Corvinul Hunedoara 1.89, FC Voluntari 0.79.

Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.

Model confidence: High.

Published

Live win probability

From kick-off
Corvinul Hunedoara52%1.92
Draw27%3.70
FC Voluntari21%4.76

These update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.

Model insights: Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari

47%
Both teams to score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Corvinul Hunedoara win Draw FC Voluntari win
  1. 1–012%
  2. 2–012%
  3. 1–111%
  4. 2–110%
  5. 3–08%
  6. 0–07%
  7. 3–16%

Scores read Corvinul Hunedoara first. Each bar is the model's probability of that exact result, drawn against the likeliest one; the other scorelines it considered share the remaining 34%.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Corvinul Hunedoara at 52% here. Across 2837 settled matches, 675 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari

Corvinul Hunedoara

  • W3-2away to Oțelul21 September 2026
  • L0-1Universitatea Craiova13 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti6 September 2026
  • D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti29 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Uta Arad22 August 2026

FC Voluntari

  • L0-2Universitatea Cluj20 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Rapid12 September 2026
  • W1-0Arges Pitesti7 September 2026
  • D2-2Oțelul28 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Universitatea Craiova23 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Corvinul Hunedoara10343119+213
15FC Voluntari10226922-138

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari

  • 6 May 2026Corvinul Hunedoara 2–0 FC VoluntariLiga II
  • 10 April 2026FC Voluntari 1–0 Corvinul HunedoaraLiga II
  • 8 November 2025Corvinul Hunedoara 0–0 FC VoluntariLiga II
  • 25 August 2024FC Voluntari 2–0 Corvinul HunedoaraLiga II
  • 17 April 2024Corvinul Hunedoara 3–1 FC VoluntariCupa României

Leading scorers: Corvinul Hunedoara and FC Voluntari

Corvinul Hunedoara

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

FC Voluntari

  • R. Guțea4 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

The two sides

Corvinul Hunedoara carry a model rating of 6.44 against 6.15 for FC Voluntari. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

What the model expects

Under the hood the model expects 1.89 goals for Corvinul Hunedoara and 0.79 for FC Voluntari. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

Corvinul Hunedoara rate 0.57 in attack and 1.33 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Voluntari rate 0.54 and 2.21.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Corvinul Hunedoara a 0.1% chance of the title and FC Voluntari 0%, from 10000 simulated seasons.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1326 correct results out of 2837 settled predictions (47%), with 271 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Corvinul Hunedoara the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.89 expected goals for Corvinul Hunedoara against 0.79 for FC Voluntari. Corvinul Hunedoara's attack/defence rating is 0.57/1.33 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.54/2.21 for FC Voluntari.