Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Corvinul Hunedoara 3-2 FC Voluntari.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Corvinul Hunedoara, 25% draw, 18% FC Voluntari — fair odds of 1.75, 4.00 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Corvinul Hunedoara at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 21C. SanduG
- 13F. IacobD
- 18F. IlieD
- 30A. ManolacheD
- 10A. NeacșaD
- 23I. CărărușM
- 20Sérgio RibeiroM
- 99E. YeboahM
- 47G. Uche GoodladM
- 19N. PîrvulescuM
- 32A. GillardF
- 8Constantin Dragoș AlbuM
- 16Gabriel ApurM
- 41M. BratuF
- 70R. DeaconuM
- 9R. EspinosaF
- 12A. FrânculescuG
- 22A. FábryM
- 14M. HayatuF
- 15M. IvančevićD
- 31M. JurharG
- 5D. HaruţD
- 27R. CrişanD
- 6S. ČestićD
- 25D. KikiD
- 19M. SchiebM
- 40L. CvekM
- 8I. GheorgheM
- 11R. GuțeaM
- 10G. MerloiF
- 7M. RomanF
- 30A. ȘuteuD
- 28B. ÈtefanM
- 99I. VencuF
- 22Nuno RodriguesM
- 4D. DumbrăvanuD
- 14A. ChioveanuG
- 29A. Chică-RoșăF
- 9M. BabićF
Form going into Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari
Corvinul Hunedoara
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Oțelul21 September 2026
- L0-1Universitatea Craiova13 September 2026
- L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti6 September 2026
- D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Uta Arad22 August 2026
FC Voluntari
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Universitatea Cluj20 September 2026
- L1-2away to Rapid12 September 2026
- W1-0Arges Pitesti7 September 2026
- D2-2Oțelul28 August 2026
- L1-3away to Universitatea Craiova23 August 2026
What these results say
- Corvinul Hunedoara failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Corvinul Hunedoara conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Corvinul Hunedoara had two goals or fewer.
- FC Voluntari failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Voluntari scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Voluntari conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari
- 6 May 2026Corvinul Hunedoara 2–0 FC VoluntariLiga II
- 10 April 2026FC Voluntari 1–0 Corvinul HunedoaraLiga II
- 8 November 2025Corvinul Hunedoara 0–0 FC VoluntariLiga II
- 25 August 2024FC Voluntari 2–0 Corvinul HunedoaraLiga II
- 17 April 2024Corvinul Hunedoara 3–1 FC VoluntariCupa României
Leading scorers: Corvinul Hunedoara and FC Voluntari
Corvinul Hunedoara
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
FC Voluntari
GoalsAssists
- R. Guțea60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Corvinul Hunedoara beat FC Voluntari 3–2. The model had made a win for Corvinul Hunedoara its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Sérgio Ribeiro (penalty) 6' for Corvinul Hunedoara, Lovro Cvek 26' for FC Voluntari, Emmanuel Yeboah 28' for Corvinul Hunedoara, Matko Babić 63' for FC Voluntari, Ion Cararus 80' for Corvinul Hunedoara. On expected goals it finished 2.73–1.59.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Corvinul Hunedoara a 5.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 3.6% after a win, 6.5% after a draw, 9.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 3.6%, 1.9 points lower than before the match.
For FC Voluntari the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 76.7% going in: 66.2% after a win, 75.8% after a draw, 80.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 80.1%, 3.4 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Corvinul Hunedoara v FC Voluntari has moved
First published on 26 Sep at 52% / 27% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 57% / 25% / 18%: the biggest move is Corvinul Hunedoara's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Corvinul Hunedoara win57%▲ +5
- Draw25%▼ −2
- FC Voluntari win18%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.