Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Seattle Sounders 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Seattle Sounders, 25% draw, 47% Vancouver Whitecaps — fair odds of 3.57, 4.00 and 2.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Vancouver Whitecaps at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 26A. ThomasG
- 85K. Kossa-RienziD
- 16A. RoldanD
- 25J. RagenD
- 5NouhouD
- 37S. BrunellM
- 45P. KingstonM
- 9J. FerreiraM
- 11A. RusnakM
- 14P. RothrockM
- 19D. MusovskiF
- 24S. FreiG
- 20Kim Kee-HeeD
- 35A. LopezD
- 4R. SailorD
- 39S. HawkinsD
- 84C. GaffneyM
- 32X. GnaulatiM
- 95O. De RosarioF
- 90S. GomezM
- 1Y. TakaokaG
- 18E. OcampoD
- 2M. LabordaD
- 6R. PrisoD
- 28T. JohnsonD
- 8O. LarrazM
- 20A. CubasM
- 59J. BadwalM
- 13T. MullerM
- 7C. SabalyM
- 11E. SabbiF
- 32I. BoehmerG
- 33T. BlackmonD
- 29M. GherasimencovD
- 3S. AdekugbeD
- 41N. DjordjevicD
- 25R. GauldM
- 97L. MacKenzieM
- 26J. NgandoM
- 19R. ElloumiF
Form going into Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Portland Timbers2 August 2026
- L0-1away to Philadelphia Union25 July 2026
- L1-3away to Austin23 July 2026
- L1-5Portland Timbers17 July 2026
Vancouver Whitecaps
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Los Angeles FC1 August 2026
- D0-0away to Minnesota United FC26 July 2026
- L3-4away to FC Cincinnati22 July 2026
What these results say
- Seattle Sounders did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Seattle Sounders conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Seattle Sounders scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
- 19 March 2026Seattle Sounders 2–1 Vancouver WhitecapsCONCACAF Champions League
- 13 March 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 0–3 Seattle SoundersCONCACAF Champions League
- 28 September 2025Seattle Sounders 2–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 9 June 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- 3 October 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 0–3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Seattle Sounders and Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 44 league goals as a side.
Vancouver Whitecaps
GoalsAssists
- B. White202
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Vancouver Whitecaps won 2–0 at Seattle Sounders. The model had made a win for Vancouver Whitecaps its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: R. Elloumi 77' for Vancouver Whitecaps, T. Muller 82' for Vancouver Whitecaps. On expected goals it finished 0.67–1.56.