Austin vs FC Dallas Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Austin 1-2 FC Dallas.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Austin, 24% draw, 48% FC Dallas — fair odds of 3.57, 4.17 and 2.08.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
FC Dallas at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Austin vs FC Dallas
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1B. StuverG
- 35M. DjordjevicD
- 5O. SvatokD
- 29Guilherme BiroD
- 30J. RosalesM
- 14B. SabovicM
- 6I. SanchezM
- 17J. GallagherM
- 38E. TorresF
- 21C. RamirezF
- 10M. UzuniF
- 12D. LasG
- 4B. Hines-IkeD
- 15J. BellD
- 23Z. KolmanicD
- 24J. AlastueyM
- 77P. PlachetaM
- 11F. TorresF
- 7J. NelsonF
- 9B. VazquezF
- 40J. SiroisG
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 14H. JohanssonM
- 17RamiroM
- 12C. CappisM
- 77B. KamungoM
- 21J. ValienteF
- 10S. MorenoF
- 9P. MusaF
- 30M. CollodiG
- 22Alvaro AugustoD
- 24J. TorquatoD
- 18S. MooreD
- 6R. BinyaminM
- 33C. HolstadM
- 55KaickM
- 28S. SarverF
- 23L. FarringtonF
Form going into Austin vs FC Dallas
Austin
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Colorado Rapids2 August 2026
- L0-3away to Houston Dynamo26 July 2026
- W3-1Seattle Sounders23 July 2026
FC Dallas
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Los Angeles Galaxy2 August 2026
- L0-1away to San Diego26 July 2026
- D2-2away to Portland Timbers23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Austin vs FC Dallas
- 14 September 2025FC Dallas 2–0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- 17 August 2025Austin 1–1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 18 July 2024FC Dallas 3–1 AustinMajor League Soccer
- 12 May 2024FC Dallas 2–1 AustinMajor League Soccer
- 31 March 2024Austin 2–1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Austin and FC Dallas
Austin
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 42 league goals as a side.
FC Dallas
GoalsAssists
- P. Musa225
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Dallas won 2–1 at Austin. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FC Dallas at 48%. The goals: L. Abubakar 45' for FC Dallas, E. Torres 57' for Austin, P. Musa 73' for FC Dallas. On expected goals it finished 0.62–1.49.