SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: SCR Altach 3-0 Wolfsberger AC.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% SCR Altach, 30% draw, 31% Wolfsberger AC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
SCR Altach at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1D. StojanovicG
- 23B. ZechD
- 27Filip MilojevicD
- 17L. JägerD
- 29N. NiehoffM
- 28Y. MassomboM
- 8M. BähreM
- 18P. GreilM
- 37B. BöckleM
- 39R. Elongo-YomboF
- 10O. DiawaraF
- 34A. VonbrulM
- 21Jakob BrandtnerD
- 31D. AntoschG
- 7D. CosgunM
- 6V. DemakuM
- 22Y. EisschillM
- 19S. HrstićF
- 14J. NaschbergerM
- 16R. RahmaniD
- 1L. GütlbauerG
- 8S. PiesingerD
- 6R. BehounekD
- 15Cheikh Mamadou DiabatéD
- 31F. WohlmuthM
- 30M. SulznerM
- 20T. SchrieblM
- 77R. RennerM
- 36D. FitzM
- 10D. AvdijajM
- 23P. VerhounigF
- 12L. GliklichG
- 49S. KaramokoF
- 35Matteo KitzD
- 32M. PinkF
- 17Marco SchabauerM
- 11A. SchwarzM
- 9G. VrioniF
- 25Adama DraméD
- 70David ĐurićD
Form going into SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC
SCR Altach
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Austria Lustenau19 September 2026
- L1-2Grazer AK12 September 2026
- L0-3away to Lask Linz29 August 2026
- L1-2TSV Hartberg22 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sturm Graz15 August 2026
Wolfsberger AC
All competitions we cover
- L1-4away to Ried20 September 2026
- L0-3Rapid Vienna12 September 2026
- L1-3Lask Linz1 September 2026
- D0-0away to Grazer AK29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Austria Lustenau15 August 2026
What these results say
- SCR Altach did not win any of these 5 matches.
- SCR Altach conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Wolfsberger AC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Wolfsberger AC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Wolfsberger AC had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SCR Altach | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC
- 4 May 2026SCR Altach 1–4 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 21 March 2026Wolfsberger AC 1–1 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 22 November 2025SCR Altach 3–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 2 August 2025Wolfsberger AC 0–2 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 24 November 2024Wolfsberger AC 2–0 SCR AltachBundesliga
Leading scorers: SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC
SCR Altach
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Wolfsberger AC
GoalsAssists
- G. Vrioni40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SCR Altach beat Wolfsberger AC 3–0. The model had made a win for SCR Altach its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ousmane Diawara 6' for SCR Altach, Benjamin·Bockle 13' for SCR Altach, Ousmane Diawara 49' for SCR Altach. Sent off: Simon Piesinger (Wolfsberger AC) 44', Mike Steven Bähre (SCR Altach) 61'. On expected goals it finished 2.00–0.28.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave SCR Altach a 67.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 59.5% after a win, 71.1% after a draw, 77.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 59.5%, 8.1 points lower than before the match.
For Wolfsberger AC the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 50.7% going in: 37.5% after a win, 50.8% after a draw, 60.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 60.3%, 9.6 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.