Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Rapid Vienna 8-0 Grazer AK.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Rapid Vienna, 27% draw, 31% Grazer AK — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Rapid Vienna at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1N. HedlG
- 77B. BollaD
- 55N. CvetkovicD
- 6S. Raux-YaoD
- 38J. HornD
- 18M. SeidlM
- 29R. AmaneM
- 22Y. DemirM
- 8T. AdamsenM
- 10P. DahlM
- 9E. KaraF
- 25P. GartlerG
- 23J. AuerD
- 4J. M. SchollerD
- 21L. SchaubM
- 17T. GulliksenM
- 30N. BajliczM
- 15N. WurmbrandF
- 7M. TilioF
- 43M. HaidaraF
- 23C. StankovicG
- 82B. OwusuD
- 2D. PinesD
- 3L. VraaD
- 6L. HermeshM
- 48M. GraggerM
- 8T. KochM
- 34P. MichorlM
- 32L. KlassenM
- 7A. SmitsF
- 25A. HofleitnerF
- 1J. MeierhoferG
- 72P. MarkovicD
- 30C. HasenhuttlD
- 17S. MandeyM
- 11M. GrosseF
- 10C. LichtenbergerM
- 29I. GuertiM
- 9D. MadernerF
- 70N. F. Brown UgoM
Form going into Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK
Rapid Vienna
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Paide12 August 2026
- W2-1away to Ried9 August 2026
- W4-1away to Paide6 August 2026
- W1-0SCR Altach2 August 2026
- W6-2FC Santa Coloma29 July 2026
Grazer AK
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Austria Lustenau8 August 2026
- L0-3away to Lask Linz31 July 2026
What these results say
- Rapid Vienna won every one of these 5 matches.
- Rapid Vienna scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 9 | +30 | 33 |
| 10 | Grazer AK | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK
- 23 November 2025Rapid Vienna 1–2 Grazer AKBundesliga
- 21 September 2025Grazer AK 1–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 16 March 2025Rapid Vienna 3–0 Grazer AKBundesliga
- 27 October 2024Grazer AK 1–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
Leading scorers: Rapid Vienna and Grazer AK
Rapid Vienna
GoalsAssists
- E. Kara71
- P. Dahl71
- T. Adamsen55
Grazer AK
GoalsAssists
- A. Hofleitner40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rapid Vienna beat Grazer AK 8–0. The model had made a win for Rapid Vienna its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: E. Kara 5' for Rapid Vienna, E. Kara 12' for Rapid Vienna, T. Adamsen 14' for Rapid Vienna, N. Cvetkovic 42' for Rapid Vienna, T. Adamsen 45' for Rapid Vienna, Y. Demir 56' for Rapid Vienna, T. Adamsen 74' for Rapid Vienna, T. Adamsen 86' for Rapid Vienna. On expected goals it finished 5.49–0.76.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.