Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-0 Ham-Kam.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Sarpsborg 08 FF, 23% draw, 17% Ham-Kam — fair odds of 1.67, 4.35 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sarpsborg 08 FF at 60% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 87Leander ØyG
- 12Claus NiyukuriD
- 4Bjorn UtvikD
- 5Magnar OdegaardD
- 21Anders HiimD
- 10Sondre SörliM
- 8Sander ChristiansenM
- 6Aimar SherM
- 33Andreas HansenM
- 11Daniel KarlsbakkF
- 22Victor Emanuel HalvorsenF
- 2Marius LodeD
- 77Olaus SkarsemM
- 17Noa WilliamsM
- 32Eirik WichneD
- 14Jo Inge BergetF
- 13Carljohan ErikssonG
- 81Mathias Svenningsen-GrønnM
- 18Bop GuèyeM
- 7Camil MmaeeM
- 12Marcus SandbergG
- 26Patrick MetcalfeD
- 2Martin GjoneD
- 23Fredrik SjolstadD
- 3Ethan Amundsen-DayD
- 5Anton EkerothD
- 8Markus JohnsgardM
- 14Luc MaresM
- 17Aksel Baran PoturM
- 19Henrik UdahlF
- 28David BenjaminF
- 4Halvor Rodolen OpsahlD
- 29Blerton IsufiM
- 24Danilo Al-SaedF
- 22Snorre Strand NilsenD
- 13Sander ØstraatG
- 7Viðar Ari JónssonM
- 6William Osnes-RingenM
- 18Gard SimenstadM
- 20Julian Bakkeli GonstadF
Form going into Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
- D0-0away to Kristiansund BK18 July 2026
Ham-Kam
- L0-3away to Bodo/Glimt22 July 2026
- L1-4Tromso18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam
- 26 July 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
- 26 March 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Ham-KamFriendlies Clubs
- 13 February 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF 3–2 Ham-KamFriendlies Clubs
- 31 August 2025Ham-Kam 1–3 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
- 11 May 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF 4–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
- 7 March 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Ham-KamFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Sarpsborg 08 FF and Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
- D. Karlsbakk6 goals
Ham-Kam
- M. Alassane Niang6 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.