Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-0 Ham-Kam.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Sarpsborg 08 FF, 23% draw, 17% Ham-Kam — fair odds of 1.67, 4.35 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sarpsborg 08 FF at 60% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 87Leander ØyG
- 12Claus NiyukuriD
- 4Bjorn UtvikD
- 5Magnar OdegaardD
- 21Anders HiimD
- 10Sondre SörliM
- 8Sander ChristiansenM
- 6Aimar SherM
- 33Andreas HansenM
- 11Daniel KarlsbakkF
- 22Victor Emanuel HalvorsenF
- 2Marius LodeD
- 77Olaus SkarsemM
- 17Noa WilliamsM
- 32Eirik WichneD
- 14Jo Inge BergetF
- 13Carljohan ErikssonG
- 81Mathias Svenningsen-GrønnM
- 18Bop GuèyeM
- 7Camil MmaeeM
- 12Marcus SandbergG
- 26Patrick MetcalfeD
- 2Martin GjoneD
- 23Fredrik SjolstadD
- 3Ethan Amundsen-DayD
- 5Anton EkerothD
- 8Markus JohnsgardM
- 14Luc MaresM
- 17Aksel Baran PoturM
- 19Henrik UdahlF
- 28David BenjaminF
- 4Halvor Rodolen OpsahlD
- 29Blerton IsufiM
- 24Danilo Al-SaedF
- 22Snorre Strand NilsenD
- 13Sander ØstraatG
- 7Viðar Ari JónssonM
- 6William Osnes-RingenM
- 18Gard SimenstadM
- 20Julian Bakkeli GonstadF
Form going into Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Kristiansund BK18 July 2026
Ham-Kam
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Bodo/Glimt22 July 2026
- L1-4Tromso18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam
- 26 March 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Ham-KamFriendlies Clubs
- 13 February 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF 3–2 Ham-KamFriendlies Clubs
- 31 August 2025Ham-Kam 1–3 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
- 11 May 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF 4–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
- 7 March 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Ham-KamFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Sarpsborg 08 FF and Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
GoalsAssists
- D. Karlsbakk71
Ham-Kam
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 33 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sarpsborg 08 FF beat Ham-Kam 1–0. The model had made a win for Sarpsborg 08 FF its most likely outcome, at 60%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: A. Nibe 29' for Sarpsborg 08 FF. On expected goals it finished 1.60–0.64.