Brann vs Valerenga Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Brann 2-3 Valerenga.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Brann, 20% draw, 29% Valerenga — fair odds of 1.96, 5.00 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Brann at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brann vs Valerenga
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Mathias DyngelandG
- 21Denzel De RoeveD
- 3Fredrik Pallesen KnudsenD
- 23Thore PedersenD
- 17Joachim SoltvedtD
- 16Kristian EriksenM
- 25Niklas Jensen WassbergM
- 8Felix Horn MyhreM
- 14Ulrik MathisenF
- 29Noah Jean HolmF
- 9Niklas CastroF
- 20Vetle DragsnesD
- 18Jacob Lungi SørensenM
- 19Eggert Aron GuðmundssonM
- 22Sævar Atli MagnússonF
- 12Simen Vidtun NilsenG
- 15Jonas TorsvikD
- 10Kristall Máni IngasonF
- 32Markus HaalandM
- 11Bård FinneF
- 1Oscar HedvallG
- 55Sebastian JarlD
- 4Aaron Kiil OlsenD
- 37Ivan NäsbergD
- 2Kolbeinn FinnssonD
- 8Henrik BjørdalM
- 29Ambina Fidèle BriceM
- 10Carl LangeM
- 77Lucas HarenM
- 26Filip ThorvaldsenF
- 17Mathias GrundetjernF
- 3Hakon SjatilD
- 28Magnus WestergaardM
- 24Petter StrandM
- 5Kevin TshiembeD
- 7Mohamed OfkirM
- 30Alexander Svensen OrdalG
- 6Vegar Eggen HedenstadD
- 19Promise MeligaF
- 9Gabriel RajkovicF
Form going into Brann vs Valerenga
Brann
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Universitatea Cluj23 July 2026
- W2-1away to Molde18 July 2026
Valerenga
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Brann | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 | Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Brann vs Valerenga
- 13 September 2025Brann 3–2 ValerengaEliteserien
- 3 May 2025Valerenga 2–4 BrannEliteserien
- 22 March 2025Brann 2–1 ValerengaFriendlies Clubs
- 27 February 2024Brann 3–0 ValerengaFriendlies Clubs
- 8 October 2023Valerenga 1–2 BrannEliteserien
Leading scorers: Brann and Valerenga
Brann
GoalsAssists
- N. Holm73
Valerenga
GoalsAssists
- L. Haren112
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Valerenga won 3–2 at Brann. The model had leaned towards a win for Brann at 51% and given a win for Valerenga 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: H. Bjordal 24' for Valerenga, C. Lange 41' for Valerenga, L. Haren 45+4' for Valerenga, N. Castro (penalty) 65' for Brann, F. Myhre 77' for Brann. Sent off: I. Nasberg (Valerenga) 57'. On expected goals it finished 2.29–1.54.