Brann vs Valerenga Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Brann 2-3 Valerenga.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Brann, 20% draw, 29% Valerenga — fair odds of 1.96, 5.00 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Brann at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brann vs Valerenga
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Mathias DyngelandG
- 21Denzel De RoeveD
- 3Fredrik Pallesen KnudsenD
- 23Thore PedersenD
- 17Joachim SoltvedtD
- 16Kristian EriksenM
- 25Niklas Jensen WassbergM
- 8Felix Horn MyhreM
- 14Ulrik MathisenF
- 29Noah Jean HolmF
- 9Niklas CastroF
- 20Vetle DragsnesD
- 18Jacob Lungi SørensenM
- 19Eggert Aron GuðmundssonM
- 22Sævar Atli MagnússonF
- 12Simen Vidtun NilsenG
- 15Jonas TorsvikD
- 10Kristall Máni IngasonF
- 32Markus HaalandM
- 11Bård FinneF
- 1Oscar HedvallG
- 55Sebastian JarlD
- 4Aaron Kiil OlsenD
- 37Ivan NäsbergD
- 2Kolbeinn FinnssonD
- 8Henrik BjørdalM
- 29Ambina Fidèle BriceM
- 10Carl LangeM
- 77Lucas HarenM
- 26Filip ThorvaldsenF
- 17Mathias GrundetjernF
- 3Hakon SjatilD
- 28Magnus WestergaardM
- 24Petter StrandM
- 5Kevin TshiembeD
- 7Mohamed OfkirM
- 30Alexander Svensen OrdalG
- 6Vegar Eggen HedenstadD
- 19Promise MeligaF
- 9Gabriel RajkovicF
Form going into Brann vs Valerenga
Brann
- D2-2away to Universitatea Cluj23 July 2026
- W2-1away to Molde18 July 2026
Valerenga
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brann | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 31 | +6 | 26 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Brann vs Valerenga
- 26 July 2026Brann 2–3 ValerengaEliteserien
- 13 September 2025Brann 3–2 ValerengaEliteserien
- 3 May 2025Valerenga 2–4 BrannEliteserien
- 22 March 2025Brann 2–1 ValerengaFriendlies Clubs
- 27 February 2024Brann 3–0 ValerengaFriendlies Clubs
- 8 October 2023Valerenga 1–2 BrannEliteserien
Leading scorers: Brann and Valerenga
Brann
- N. Holm6 goals2 assists
Valerenga
- L. Haren8 goals1 assists
- C. Lange6 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.