Aalesund vs Viking Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Aalesund 1-1 Viking.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Aalesund, 22% draw, 47% Viking — fair odds of 3.23, 4.55 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Viking at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Aalesund vs Viking
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Luca PodlechG
- 4Simen HaramD
- 22Emil EngqvistD
- 3Ólafur GuðmundssonD
- 2Marius AndresenM
- 21Mathias ChristensenM
- 6Hakon Butli HammerM
- 18Elias Kristoffersen HagenM
- 14Uba CharlesM
- 39Kristian LonebuF
- 15Endre Hjertager OsenbrochF
- 11Davíð Snær JóhannssonM
- 7Kristoffer NessøM
- 8Henrik MellandM
- 17Elias Heggland MyrlidF
- 26Tor Erik LarsenG
- 25Ulrik SyversenD
- 16Jakob Nyland ÖrsahlD
- 45Philip Sandvik AuklandD
- 20Ivan DjantouF
- 30Ľubomír BelkoG
- 18Sondre Flem BjørsholD
- 6Gianni StensnessD
- 21Anders BaertelsenD
- 24Vetle AuklendD
- 8Joe BellM
- 7Kristoffer AskildsenM
- 23Niklas Kemp FuglestadM
- 26Simen Kvia-EgeskogM
- 17Edvin AustbøM
- 20Peter ChristiansenF
- 2Herman Johan HaugenD
- 29Tobias MoiM
- 16Ruben AlteM
- 19Amin CosicF
- 28Kristoffer HaugenD
- 1Arild ØstbøG
- 3Viljar VevatneD
- 33Jakob Segadal HansenM
- 15Ola VistedM
Form going into Aalesund vs Viking
Aalesund
No earlier matches on record this season.
Viking
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Lillestrom22 July 2026
- W2-1Sandefjord18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Aalesund | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 24 |
| 1 | Viking | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 64 | 26 | +38 | 59 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Aalesund vs Viking
- 18 March 2026Viking 1–2 AalesundNM Cupen
- 25 June 2025Aalesund 0–1 VikingNM Cupen
- 26 November 2023Aalesund 0–4 VikingEliteserien
- 24 July 2023Viking 3–1 AalesundEliteserien
- 2 October 2022Aalesund 2–1 VikingEliteserien
Leading scorers: Aalesund and Viking
Aalesund
GoalsAssists
- M. Christensen104
Viking
GoalsAssists
- P. Christiansen157
- S. Kvia-Egeskog93
- H. Heggheim73
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Aalesund and Viking drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Viking at 47% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: K. Askildsen 45+1' for Viking, M. Christensen 46' for Aalesund. On expected goals it finished 1.50–1.70.