Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Sandefjord 0-3 Bodo/Glimt.
Before kick-off the model made it 13% Sandefjord, 21% draw, 66% Bodo/Glimt — fair odds of 7.69, 4.76 and 1.52. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bodo/Glimt at 66% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30Elias HadayaG
- 4Fredrik Carson PedersenD
- 13Rasmus HoltenD
- 44Xander LambrixD
- 3Vetle Walle EgeliD
- 6Sander Risan MörkM
- 7Evangelos PatoulidisM
- 14Edvard PettersenM
- 19Bendik BerntsenM
- 20Marcus MelchiorM
- 11Nikolaj MöllerF
- 2Martin HellanD
- 27Jakob Maslo DunsbyF
- 1Alf GrønnebergG
- 31Henrik SkrettebergD
- 16Hakon KrogelienD
- 21Jakob SwiftM
- 24Sebastian Holm MathisenF
- 17Foster ApetorgborF
- 32Daniel SkaarudF
- 12Nikita HaikinG
- 20Fredrik SjøvoldD
- 4Odin Luras BjørtuftD
- 6Jostein GundersenD
- 25Isak Dybvik MäättäD
- 8Sondre AuklendM
- 7Patrick BergM
- 19Sondre FetM
- 17Ola BrynhildsenM
- 11Ole Didrik BlombergF
- 21Andreas HelmersenF
- 26Håkon EvjenM
- 15Fredrik André BjørkanD
- 10Jens Petter HaugeM
- 16Joshua KitolanoM
- 1Julian LundG
- 5Haitam AleesamiD
- 2Villads NielsenD
- 23Magnus RiisnæsM
- 77Mikkel Bro HansenF
Form going into Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord
- L1-2away to Viking18 July 2026
Bodo/Glimt
- W3-0Ham-Kam22 July 2026
- W1-0Fredrikstad17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sandefjord | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 20 |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 17 | +35 | 50 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt
- 26 July 2026Sandefjord 0–3 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 31 August 2025Sandefjord 1–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 12 July 2025Bodo/Glimt 2–0 SandefjordEliteserien
- 13 July 2024Sandefjord 2–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 29 May 2024Bodo/Glimt 1–1 SandefjordEliteserien
- 21 October 2023Bodo/Glimt 4–3 SandefjordEliteserien
Leading scorers: Sandefjord and Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Bodo/Glimt
- A. Helmersen8 goals1 assists
- K. Høgh7 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.