Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Sonderjyske 2-3 FC Midtjylland.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Sonderjyske, 25% draw, 47% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 3.57, 4.00 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Midtjylland at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16Marcus Bundgaard SorensenG
- 12Maxime SoulasD
- 5Magnus JensenD
- 4Daníel GrétarssonD
- 3Simon WæverM
- 7Sefer EminiM
- 10Mathias OlesenM
- 23Chidiebube DuruM
- 8Mohamed Cherif HaidaraF
- 24Olti HyseniF
- 9Matthew HoppeF
- 32David Boison FrimpongF
- 28Anders BergholtM
- 11Alexander LyngF
- 31Ismaïl SeydiF
- 1Nicolai FløG
- 13Dalton WilkinsD
- 30Gustav WagnerD
- 29Albert RrahmaniM
- 18Omran KhatarF
- 1Elías ÓlafssonG
- 5Rasmus KristensenD
- 6Martin ErlićD
- 22Mads Bech SørensenD
- 11Darío OsorioM
- 8Philip BillingM
- 19Pedro BravoM
- 20Valdemar ByskovM
- 55Victor Bak JensenM
- 7Franculino DjúF
- 10Gue-sung ChoF
- 15Beni JuniorD
- 38Julius EmefileM
- 90Friday EtimF
- 21Denil CastilloM
- 13Adam GabrielD
- 25Nordin BakkerG
- 27Sofus JohannesenM
- 29Kjell WätjenM
- 18Stanley IheanachoF
Form going into Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland
Sonderjyske
No earlier matches on record this season.
FC Midtjylland
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Beşiktaş23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 8 |
| 1 | FC Midtjylland | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 13 | +11 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland
- 23 April 2026Sonderjyske 1–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 4 April 2026FC Midtjylland 2–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 9 January 2026Sonderjyske 3–6 FC MidtjyllandFriendlies Clubs
- 23 November 2025Sonderjyske 2–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 28 July 2025FC Midtjylland 6–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
Leading scorers: Sonderjyske and FC Midtjylland
Sonderjyske
GoalsAssists
- M. Haidara50
- O. De Rosario32
FC Midtjylland
GoalsAssists
- F. Etim63
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Midtjylland won 3–2 at Sonderjyske. The model had made a win for FC Midtjylland its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. B. Sorensen 26' for FC Midtjylland, M. Jensen 27' for Sonderjyske, V. Byskov 35' for FC Midtjylland, M. Haidara 45' for Sonderjyske, J. Emefile 66' for FC Midtjylland. On expected goals it finished 1.30–0.73.