26 July 2026, 12:00 UTC

Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland Superliga prediction & result

Haderslev Football Stadium, Haderslev
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Sonderjyske 2-3 FC Midtjylland.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% Sonderjyske, 25% draw, 47% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 3.57, 4.00 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Midtjylland at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
R. Kristensen
26'
⚽M. B. Sorensenassist: V. Byskov
⚽M. Jensenassist: O. Hyseni
27'
M. Hoppe
31'
35'
⚽V. Byskovassist: D. Osorio
⚽M. Haidaraassist: O. Hyseni
45'
46'
🔁V. Byskovout: J. Emefile
46'
🔁V. Bakout: D. Beni
🔁M. Hoppeout: D. Boison
51'
🔁S. Waeverout: A. Bergholt
59'
🔁M. Olesenout: A. Lyng
59'
59'
🔁Franculinoout: F. Etim
66'
⚽J. Emefileassist: P. Billing
🔁O. Hyseniout: I. Seydi
68'
69'
F. Etim
72'
🔁P. Bravoout: D. Castillo
80'
🔁M. Erlicout: A. Gabriel
90+8'
M. Tullberg

Match stats — Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland

42%Possession58%
17Shots12
4On target5
5Corners4
1.3xG0.73

Goals against chances

Sonderjyske2 from 1.30 xGmore than the chances were worth
FC Midtjylland3 from 0.73 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sonderjyske 3-4-2-1
  • 16Marcus Bundgaard SorensenG
  • 12Maxime SoulasD
  • 5Magnus JensenD
  • 4Daníel GrétarssonD
  • 3Simon WæverM
  • 7Sefer EminiM
  • 10Mathias OlesenM
  • 23Chidiebube DuruM
  • 8Mohamed Cherif HaidaraF
  • 24Olti HyseniF
  • 9Matthew HoppeF
Substitutes
  • 32David Boison FrimpongF
  • 28Anders BergholtM
  • 11Alexander LyngF
  • 31Ismaïl SeydiF
  • 1Nicolai FløG
  • 13Dalton WilkinsD
  • 30Gustav WagnerD
  • 29Albert RrahmaniM
  • 18Omran KhatarF
Coach: Fatah Abdirahman
FC Midtjylland 3-5-2
  • 1Elías ÓlafssonG
  • 5Rasmus KristensenD
  • 6Martin ErlićD
  • 22Mads Bech SørensenD
  • 11Darío OsorioM
  • 8Philip BillingM
  • 19Pedro BravoM
  • 20Valdemar ByskovM
  • 55Victor Bak JensenM
  • 7Franculino DjúF
  • 10Gue-sung ChoF
Substitutes
  • 15Beni JuniorD
  • 38Julius EmefileM
  • 90Friday EtimF
  • 21Denil CastilloM
  • 13Adam GabrielD
  • 25Nordin BakkerG
  • 27Sofus JohannesenM
  • 29Kjell WätjenM
  • 18Stanley IheanachoF
Coach: Mike Tullberg

Form going into Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland

Sonderjyske

No earlier matches on record this season.

FC Midtjylland

  • L0-1away to Beşiktaş23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Sonderjyske8026819-112
2FC Midtjylland8530168+818

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland

  • 26 July 2026Sonderjyske 2–3 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 23 April 2026Sonderjyske 1–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 4 April 2026FC Midtjylland 2–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
  • 9 January 2026Sonderjyske 3–6 FC MidtjyllandFriendlies Clubs
  • 23 November 2025Sonderjyske 2–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 28 July 2025FC Midtjylland 6–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga

Leading scorers: Sonderjyske and FC Midtjylland

Sonderjyske

  • M. Haidara3 goals

FC Midtjylland

  • F. Etim3 goals2 assists
  • S. Iheanacho3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.