KFUM Oslo vs Molde Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: KFUM Oslo 2-4 Molde.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% KFUM Oslo, 31% draw, 27% Molde — fair odds of 2.38, 3.23 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts KFUM Oslo at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KFUM Oslo vs Molde
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Havar JensenG
- 2Daniel SchneiderD
- 13Brage SkaretD
- 19Eirik Franke SaunesD
- 21Sander Hansen SjøkvistM
- 27Tore Andre SorasM
- 7Robin RaschM
- 16Jonas Lange HjorthM
- 18Rasmus Eggen VingeF
- 10Bilal NjieF
- 28Magnus GrødemF
- 22Bjorn Martin KristensenF
- 9Martin Tangen VinjorM
- 31Darian MinkG
- 4Momodou Lion NjieD
- 33Amin NouriD
- 23Magnus Wolff EikremM
- 17Teodor HaltvikM
- 42David Hickson GyeduF
- 20Mostafa NajafzadehM
- 22Albert PosiadałaG
- 8Mathias LøvikD
- 4Sivert Sira HansenD
- 33Birk RisaD
- 26Samukelo KabiniD
- 10Emil BreivikM
- 30Daniel DagaM
- 5Eirik HestadM
- 23Sondre Milian GranaasM
- 21Oskar Spiten-NysæterM
- 9Jalal AbdullaiF
- 12Peder Hoel LervikG
- 19Eirik HauganD
- 25Martin LinnesD
- 28Viktor BenderM
- 11Caleb Zady SeryF
- 20Mads EnggårdM
- 24Trent Kone DohertyF
- 29Seydina Mohamed DiopF
Form going into KFUM Oslo vs Molde
KFUM Oslo
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Lillestrom18 July 2026
Molde
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Brann18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
| 3 | Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 36 | +21 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: KFUM Oslo vs Molde
- 21 June 2026Molde 5–1 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
- 17 August 2025KFUM Oslo 0–0 MoldeEliteserien
- 29 June 2025Molde 2–3 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 23 September 2024KFUM Oslo 1–1 MoldeEliteserien
- 20 July 2024Molde 2–3 KFUM OsloEliteserien
Leading scorers: KFUM Oslo and Molde
KFUM Oslo
GoalsAssists
- B. Njie71
Molde
GoalsAssists
- K. Lonebu122
- E. Breivik1010
- E. Hestad82
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Molde won 4–2 at KFUM Oslo. The model had leaned towards a win for KFUM Oslo at 42% and given a win for Molde 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: R. E. Vinge 1' for KFUM Oslo, D. Daga 40' for Molde, E. Breivik 58' for Molde, B. Njie 60' for KFUM Oslo, M. Linnes 85' for Molde, S. Kabini 90+3' for Molde. On expected goals it finished 0.20–3.20.