KFUM Oslo vs Molde Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: KFUM Oslo 2-4 Molde.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% KFUM Oslo, 31% draw, 27% Molde — fair odds of 2.38, 3.23 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts KFUM Oslo at 42% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KFUM Oslo vs Molde
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Havar JensenG
- 2Daniel SchneiderD
- 13Brage SkaretD
- 19Eirik Franke SaunesD
- 21Sander Hansen SjøkvistM
- 27Tore Andre SorasM
- 7Robin RaschM
- 16Jonas Lange HjorthM
- 18Rasmus Eggen VingeF
- 10Bilal NjieF
- 28Magnus GrødemF
- 22Bjorn Martin KristensenF
- 9Martin Tangen VinjorM
- 31Darian MinkG
- 4Momodou Lion NjieD
- 33Amin NouriD
- 23Magnus Wolff EikremM
- 17Teodor HaltvikM
- 42David Hickson GyeduF
- 20Mostafa NajafzadehM
- 22Albert PosiadałaG
- 8Mathias LøvikD
- 4Sivert Sira HansenD
- 33Birk RisaD
- 26Samukelo KabiniD
- 10Emil BreivikM
- 30Daniel DagaM
- 5Eirik HestadM
- 23Sondre Milian GranaasM
- 21Oskar Spiten-NysæterM
- 9Jalal AbdullaiF
- 12Peder Hoel LervikG
- 19Eirik HauganD
- 25Martin LinnesD
- 28Viktor BenderM
- 11Caleb Zady SeryF
- 20Mads EnggårdM
- 24Trent Kone DohertyF
- 29Seydina Mohamed DiopF
Form going into KFUM Oslo vs Molde
KFUM Oslo
- L1-2away to Lillestrom18 July 2026
Molde
- L1-2Brann18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 22 |
| 3 | Molde | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 30 | +13 | 36 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: KFUM Oslo vs Molde
- 26 July 2026KFUM Oslo 2–4 MoldeEliteserien
- 21 June 2026Molde 5–1 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
- 17 August 2025KFUM Oslo 0–0 MoldeEliteserien
- 29 June 2025Molde 2–3 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 23 September 2024KFUM Oslo 1–1 MoldeEliteserien
- 20 July 2024Molde 2–3 KFUM OsloEliteserien
Leading scorers: KFUM Oslo and Molde
KFUM Oslo
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 22 league goals as a side.
Molde
- E. Hestad8 goals2 assists
- E. Breivik7 goals7 assists
- Trent Toure Kone Doherty6 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.