26 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland Superliga prediction & result

Hybel Arena Horsens, Horsens
Full time1 – 1

Final score: AC Horsens 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% AC Horsens, 32% draw, 40% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 3.57, 3.13 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 40% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

33'
⚽N. Rojkjaer
⚽A. Justinussen (pen)
43'
56'
T. Salquist
A. Herdonsson
57'
🔁Y. Ouorouout: J. Tauriainen
62'
🔁K. Lusavecout: A. Moro
62'
66'
🔁V. Berthelsenout: I. Adel
66'
🔁L. Sadioout: H. Rasmussen
🔁A. Justinussenout: F. Brandhof
79'
🔁K. Kirkegaardout: I. Milicevic
79'
85'
🔁N. Rojkjaerout: M. Heyde
85'
🔁J. Lahteenmakiout: S. Acquah
🔁J. Madsenout: O. Mandrup
90+1'

Match stats — AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland

31%Possession69%
8Shots21
4On target6
4Corners12
1.61xG2.61

Goals against chances

AC Horsens1 from 1.61 xGless than the chances were worth
FC Nordsjaelland1 from 2.61 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

AC Horsens 4-2-3-1
  • 1Matej DelačG
  • 26Victor PálssonD
  • 35Mikkel KupijbidaD
  • 24Ole KolskogenD
  • 28Alagie SaineD
  • 17Adam HerdonssonM
  • 20Karlo LusavecM
  • 27Yamirou OuorouM
  • 14Julius MadsenM
  • 10Kristian KirkegaardM
  • 15Adrian JustinussenF
Substitutes
  • 31Anders HoffG
  • 4Sebastian HausnerD
  • 30Seniko DouaD
  • 16Abdul MoroM
  • 29Frederik BrandhofM
  • 7Ivan MiličevićD
  • 19Jimi TauriainenM
  • 38Oscar MandrupF
  • 9Muhamet HyseniF
FC Nordsjaelland 3-4-1-2
  • 13Andreas HansenG
  • 2Peter AnkersenD
  • 3Tobias SalquistD
  • 36Caleb YirenkyiD
  • 25Juho LähteenmäkiM
  • 8Nicklas RøjkjærM
  • 18Justin JanssenM
  • 23Runar Robinsonn NorheimM
  • 37Lamine SadioF
  • 29Villum BerthelsenF
  • 10Prince Amoako JuniorF
Substitutes
  • 31Andreas SøndenbroeG
  • 28Markus WalkerD
  • 15Stephen AcquahD
  • 47Malte HeydeM
  • 14Ibrahim AdelF
  • 6Mark BrinkM
  • 9Ola SolbakkenF
  • 17Levy NeneF
  • 40Hjalte Boe RasmussenM
Coach: Jens Olsen

Form going into AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland

AC Horsens

No earlier matches on record this season.

FC Nordsjaelland

  • L0-1away to Gais23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6AC Horsens83141314-110
3FC Nordsjaelland8521136+717

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland

  • 26 July 2026AC Horsens 1–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • 27 June 2026FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 AC HorsensFriendlies Clubs
  • 28 October 2022FC Nordsjaelland 2–0 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • 16 September 2022AC Horsens 1–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • 7 March 2021FC Nordsjaelland 2–2 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • 25 October 2020AC Horsens 1–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga

Leading scorers: AC Horsens and FC Nordsjaelland

AC Horsens

  • K. Ehibhatiomhan4 goals
  • Y. Ouorou2 goals1 assists

FC Nordsjaelland

  • H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.