22 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Saint Etienne vs Grenoble Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Saint Etienne 4-0 Grenoble.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Saint Etienne, 26% draw, 39% Grenoble — fair odds of 2.86, 3.85 and 2.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Grenoble at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Saint Etienne99%Draw1%Grenoble0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
Baptiste Mouazan
⚽A. Csongvaiassist: J. Breum
13'
⚽T. Balloassist: I. Cardona
19'
🔁J. Breumout: Z. Davitashvili
27'
35'
🔁M. Corbozout: S. Diba
45+1'
Clément Vidal
⚽I. Cardona
45'
Maxime Bernauer
57'
58'
🔁B. Mouazanout: L. Bernadou
58'
🔁Y. Diabyout: L. Cerri
🔁T. Balloout: J. Duffus
62'
🔁I. Cardonaout: L. Stassin
63'
76'
Samba Diba
79'
🔁Y. Magninout: J. Mouton
79'
🔁J. Akpa Akproout: D. Hoogewerf
⚽Z. Davitashviliassist: A. Boakye
82'

Match stats — Saint Etienne vs Grenoble

66%Possession34%
18Shots2
10On target1
6Corners2

Line-ups

Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
  • 30G. LarsonneurG
  • 23K. PedroD
  • 26J. Le CardinalD
  • 18S. NairD
  • 6M. BernauerD
  • 16T. SvetlinM
  • 14A. CsongvaiM
  • 20A. BoakyeM
  • 10J. BreumM
  • 8T. BalloM
  • 7I. CardonaF
Substitutes
  • 1M. NdiayeG
  • 2S. StojkovicD
  • 37N. KasiaD
  • 35M. SissokoM
  • 32A. BaallalM
  • 17J. DuffusF
  • 9L. StassinF
  • 22Z. DavitashviliF
Coach: Ian Cathro
Grenoble 4-1-4-1
  • 1A. OllieroG
  • 19N. ZahuiD
  • 5C. VidalD
  • 33E. SarikayaD
  • 27M. XantippeD
  • 6Y. MagninM
  • 92J. Akpa AkproM
  • 10B. MouazanM
  • 14M. CorbozM
  • 7Y. DiabyM
  • 47K. FofanaF
Substitutes
  • 16B. AllainG
  • 26M. MionD
  • 48S. NiakateD
  • 8L. BernadouM
  • 30S. DibaM
  • 46J. MoutonD
  • 23D. HoogewerfF
  • 12U. BonnetF
  • 17L. CerriF
Coach: Olivier Frapolli

Form going into Saint Etienne vs Grenoble

Saint Etienne

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1Clermont Foot14 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Sochaux8 August 2026

Grenoble

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Metz14 August 2026
  • L2-4away to Dunkerque8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Saint Etienne129122511+1428
17Grenoble123271322-911

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Saint Etienne vs Grenoble

  • 14 March 2026Grenoble 0–0 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • 30 August 2025Saint Etienne 1–1 GrenobleLigue 2
  • 3 August 2024Grenoble 5–3 Saint EtienneFriendlies Clubs
  • 23 April 2024Grenoble 0–2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • 6 January 2024Saint Etienne 3–0 GrenobleFriendlies Clubs
  • 5 August 2023Saint Etienne 0–1 GrenobleLigue 2

Leading scorers: Saint Etienne and Grenoble

Saint Etienne

GoalsAssists

  • I. Cardona65
  • A. Boakye63
  • T. Ballo52

Grenoble

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Saint Etienne beat Grenoble 4–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Grenoble at 39% and given a win for Saint Etienne 35%. The goals: A. Csongvai 13' for Saint Etienne, T. Ballo 19' for Saint Etienne, I. Cardona 45' for Saint Etienne, Z. Davitashvili 82' for Saint Etienne.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.