Metz vs Laval Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Metz 1-1 Laval.
Before kick-off the model made it 85% Metz, 9% draw, 6% Laval — fair odds of 1.18, 11.11 and 16.67.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Metz at 85%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Metz vs Laval
Line-ups
- 1Jonathan FischerG
- 70Bouna SarrD
- 42Cristian CastroD
- 98Idris MohamedD
- 3Florian MiguelD
- 8Jessy DeminguetM
- 18Believe MunongoM
- 21Jahyann PandoreM
- 9Giorgi AbuashviliF
- 11Pape Moussa FallF
- 22Nathan MbalaF
- 6Nampalys MendyM
- 10Teji SavanierM
- 4Urie-Michel MboulaD
- 38Hamza KadamaniM
- 7Ibou SaneF
- 61Pape SyG
- 39Bryan SongD
- 19Morgan Bokele MputuF
- 20Habibou DialloF
- 30Mamadou SamassaG
- 23Esteban MoutonD
- 18Aboubacar LôD
- 3William BiandaD
- 22Jules GaudinD
- 6Sam SannaM
- 33Sacha MellierM
- 14Cyril MandoukiM
- 5Julien MaggiottiM
- 11Trévis DagoF
- 31Mathis HoudayerF
- 21Alessio BeaudouinD
- 7Chafik GourichyM
- 19Noa MupembaF
- 28Aboubakary KantéF
- 32Yanis CourtM
- 1Maxime HautboisG
- 35Joseph Layousse SambD
- 29Mamadou SidibéM
Form going into Metz vs Laval
Metz
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Grenoble14 August 2026
- W2-1Guingamp8 August 2026
Laval
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Nantes14 August 2026
- L1-3away to Rodez8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Metz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 17 |
| 18 | Laval | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Metz vs Laval
- 10 May 2025Laval 2–3 MetzLigue 2
- 31 August 2024Metz 1–1 LavalLigue 2
- 1 April 2023Metz 1–0 LavalLigue 2
- 20 August 2022Laval 3–3 MetzLigue 2
- 2 February 2016Metz 1–0 LavalLigue 2
- 11 September 2015Laval 0–1 MetzLigue 2
Leading scorers: Metz and Laval
Metz
GoalsAssists
- P. Fall81
- J. Deminguet33
Laval
GoalsAssists
- M. Houdayer40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Metz and Laval drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Metz at 85% and given a draw 9%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 11 matches like this one. The goals: J. Maggiotti (penalty) 49' for Laval, P. M. Fall 78' for Metz. Sent off: I. Mohamed (Metz) 83'.