22 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

Nantes vs Rodez Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
Full time2 – 5

Final score: Nantes 2-5 Rodez.

Before kick-off the model made it 59% Nantes, 23% draw, 18% Rodez — fair odds of 1.69, 4.35 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nantes at 59%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽K. Corredorassist: M. Cafaro
4'
7'
C. Issanchou
15'
⚽I. Baldeassist: R. Ponti
⚽K. Corredorassist: W. Younoussa
24'
🔁K. Corredorout: D. Tabibou
45+3'
47'
⚽R. Ponti
M. Cafaro
55'
63'
🔁R. Pontiout: E. Jean-Lambert
63'
🔁D. Pavlovicout: O. Joly
68'
J. Mendes
🔁I. Sissokoout: B. Deuff
69'
🔁J. Lepenantout: L. Leroux
69'
🔁M. Cafaroout: M. Dabo
69'
71'
⚽I. Baldeassist: R. Lipinski
72'
⚽I. Baldeassist: R. Lipinski
73'
I. Balde
74'
🔁C. Issanchouout: S. Luyambula
74'
🔁I. Baldeout: K. Nagera
W. Younoussa
76'
86'
🔁M. Touhoout: N. Nsingi
🔁H. Guirassyout: J. Kone
87'
90+5'
⚽S. Sow (OG)

Match stats — Nantes vs Rodez

59%Possession41%
14Shots16
6On target5
4Corners6

Line-ups

Nantes 4-1-4-1
  • 1Maxime DupéG
  • 24Frédéric GuilbertD
  • 4Saïdou SowD
  • 5Lucas PerrinD
  • 98Kelvin AmianD
  • 28Ibrahima SissokoM
  • 20Mathieu CafaroM
  • 8Johann LepenantM
  • 23Wilitty YounoussaM
  • 11Bahereba GuirassyM
  • 12Killian CorredorF
Substitutes
  • 17Dehmaine TabibouM
  • 52Bahmed DeuffM
  • 19Louis LerouxM
  • 47Moustapha DaboF
  • 49Doumbia KonéF
  • 16Alexis MirbachG
  • 65Hugo LamyD
  • 78Tylel TatiD
  • 99Mohamed CamaraF
Coach: Michel Der Zakarian
Rodez 5-3-2
  • 16Lucas MargueronG
  • 13Corentin Issanchou RoubiouD
  • 24Loni LaurentD
  • 4Mathis MagninD
  • 3Raphaël LipinskiD
  • 20Ryan PontiD
  • 6Jordan Mendes CorreiaM
  • 8Damjan PavlovićM
  • 29Antonin CartillierM
  • 18Ibrahima BaldéF
  • 11Mathis TouhoF
Substitutes
  • 15Evan’s Jean-LambertD
  • 22Octave JolyM
  • 28Steven Luyambula BiwaD
  • 7Kenny NageraF
  • 9Nachon NsingiF
  • 30Enzo CrombezG
  • 17Luzolo Vangi VungeleD
  • 5Clément JoliboisD
Coach: Didier Santini

Form going into Nantes vs Rodez

Nantes

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Laval14 August 2026
  • L0-1RED Star FC 938 August 2026

Rodez

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Annecy14 August 2026
  • W3-1Laval8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Nantes123361418-412
13Rodez124171723-613

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Nantes and Rodez

Nantes

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Rodez

GoalsAssists

  • I. Baldé50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rodez won 5–2 at Nantes. The model had leaned towards a win for Nantes at 59% and given a win for Rodez 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: K. Corredor 4' for Nantes, I. Balde 15' for Rodez, K. Corredor 24' for Nantes, R. Ponti 47' for Rodez, I. Balde 71' for Rodez, I. Balde 72' for Rodez, S. Sow (own goal) 90+5' for Rodez.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.