Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza NB I prediction & result
Final score: Vasas 3-2 Nyiregyhaza.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Vasas, 32% draw, 25% Nyiregyhaza — fair odds of 2.33, 3.13 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vasas at 43% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza
Line-ups
- 87M. EngediG
- 4B. PavkovicsD
- 57P. IyinborD
- 17D. CsokaD
- 14A. DoktoricsD
- 10M. KovacsretiM
- 16B. RabM
- 15S. HidiM
- 77M. TothM
- 88J. UrblikF
- 9M. KosztaF
- 26J. UramG
- 36B. BarathD
- 68A. GirsikD
- 22V. GeyD
- 24S. Mezei
- 8B. Z. Bano-SzaboM
- 29B. PethoF
- 7A. RadoF
- 18G. PalinkasF
- 57M. DalaG
- 24V. JovanovD
- 15A. TemesvariD
- 31L. Katona
- 66B. BenczenleitnerD
- 6Y. TomaM
- 12M. KovacsM
- 7N. AntonovM
- 8Z. HosF
- 23M. RegzaF
- 9M. KvasinaF
- 22M. MolnarG
- 32B. TothG
- 39R. ZikovicD
- 74D. Kaczvinszki
- 55B. KatonaM
- 21Z. VukkM
- 70M. KatonaM
- 10B. MannerM
- 26Z. MedvedF
Form going into Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza
Vasas
- L1-3away to Ujpest29 August 2026
- L0-1Puskas Academy22 August 2026
Nyiregyhaza
- D1-1Paks29 August 2026
- L1-2away to MTK Budapest22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vasas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 15 |
| 11 | Nyiregyhaza | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza
- 14 September 2024Vasas 1–1 NyiregyhazaMagyar Kupa
- 20 April 2024Nyiregyhaza 3–1 VasasNB II
- 22 October 2023Vasas 3–0 NyiregyhazaNB II
- 18 October 2022Nyiregyhaza 1–2 VasasMagyar Kupa
- 20 March 2022Nyiregyhaza 0–1 VasasNB II
- 29 September 2021Vasas 2–0 NyiregyhazaNB II
Leading scorers: Vasas and Nyiregyhaza
Vasas
GoalsAssists
- M. Kovácsréti21
- M. Tóth21
Nyiregyhaza
No player in NB I's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.