6 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split HNL prediction & result

SC Rudes, Zagreb
Full time0 – 4

Final score: Rudes 0-4 HNK Hajduk Split.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Rudes, 28% draw, 40% HNK Hajduk Split — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts HNK Hajduk Split at 40% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rudes0%Draw1%HNK Hajduk Split99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
⚽Michele Šegoassist: Dalisson De Almeida Leite
28'
⚽Michele Šego (pen)
🔁Ivan Đoricout: Vid Seitz
45'
48'
⚽marin soticekassist: Dalisson De Almeida Leite
🔁filip tarabaout: bruno unusic
63'
🔁Jurica Poldrugacout: Kristijan Lovrić
63'
63'
🔁Abdoulie Sanyangout: Carlos Martín Domínguez
63'
🔁marin soticekout: Adam Huram
64'
🔁Etnik brrutiout: Khalil Fayad
76'
🔁Michele Šegoout: Marko Livaja
82'
🔁Dario Marešićout: Dennis Hadzikadunić
🔁ante susakout: Junior Fernandes
82'
🔁Lenny Ilecicout: Toni Kolega
82'
87'
⚽Khalil Fayadassist: Adam Huram

Match stats — Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split

34%Possession66%
3Shots18
0On target6
2Corners7

Line-ups

Rudes 4-2-3-1
  • 95L. RogicG
  • 44F. TarabaD
  • 5M. StolnikD
  • 4V. CeljakD
  • 21A. SusakD
  • 37N. SkokoM
  • 24I. DjoricM
  • 7L. IlecicM
  • 28XaviM
  • 11J. PoldrugacM
  • 19C. SahoF
Substitutes
  • 32S. DuvnjakG
  • 2B. Unusic
  • 42M. ZebicD
  • 23A. UdovicicD
  • 10V. SeitzM
  • 25A. SpekuljukF
  • 78J. FernandesF
  • 34K. LovricF
  • 14T. KolegaF
Coach: Alen Peternac
HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
  • 33T. SilicG
  • 22M. AcapandieD
  • 15D. MaresicD
  • 14R. RaciD
  • 32S. HrgovicD
  • 19E. BrrutiM
  • 20A. del MoralM
  • 7A. SanyangM
  • 9D. de AlmeidaM
  • 23M. SoticekM
  • 11M. SegoF
Substitutes
  • 44D. StipicaG
  • 99D. FesyukG
  • 5A. Van HoorenbeeckD
  • 17D. MelnjakD
  • 6D. HadzikadunicD
  • 38L. HodakD
  • 3R. GabricD
  • 77C. MartinF
  • 26A. HuramM
Coach: Gonzalo Garcia

Form going into Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split

Rudes

  • L0-2away to NK Varazdin29 August 2026
  • W4-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb21 August 2026
  • L0-4away to Dinamo Zagreb14 August 2026

HNK Hajduk Split

  • W2-0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb31 August 2026
  • W4-0NK Osijek23 August 2026
  • W2-1away to HNK Gorica16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Rudes7106822-143
1HNK Hajduk Split7511165+1116

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split

  • 6 September 2026Rudes 0–4 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
  • 27 April 2024HNK Hajduk Split 5–1 RudesHNL
  • 17 February 2024Rudes 0–2 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
  • 4 November 2023HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 RudesHNL
  • 20 August 2023Rudes 0–2 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
  • 14 May 2019Rudes 1–4 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL

Leading scorers: Rudes and HNK Hajduk Split

Rudes

  • L. Ilečić2 goals2 assists

HNK Hajduk Split

  • M. Šego4 goals
  • M. Livaja3 goals
  • M. Šotiček2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.