River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: River Plate 1-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% River Plate, 24% draw, 13% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — fair odds of 1.59, 4.17 and 7.69.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
River Plate at 63%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 41S. BeltránG
- 29G. MontielD
- 28L. MartínezD
- 30N. OtamendiD
- 21M. AcuñaD
- 50T. AndradaM
- 15F. VeraM
- 26T. GalvánM
- 10Á. CorreaM
- 25L. PereyraM
- 9S. DriussiF
- 18L. BeltránM
- 8M. ArambarriM
- 33E. CenturiónG
- 19R. BorréF
- 20G. GonzálezD
- 31F. GonzálezD
- 24J. MezaM
- 6A. MorenoM
- 2T. PalacioD
- 38Lautaro HerreraG
- 6J. AntoniniD
- 2G. MaffiniD
- 30S. OjedaD
- 29A. QuirogaD
- 23F. RodríguezD
- 10T. GonzálezM
- 5A. CabreraM
- 17G. AlanísM
- 77I. HesarF
- 22M. ValienteF
- 3Lucas BañosD
- 8S. RosanéM
- 99J. ChalaF
- 28F. CobosD
- 9J. FerreiraF
- 11M. GarneroneF
- 14G. GonzalezD
- 12Francisco Agustín GualtieriG
- 16Y. MorenoF
Form going into River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
River Plate
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Huracan19 September 2026
- W2-1away to Atletico Tucuman12 September 2026
- W3-1Independiente Rivadavia6 September 2026
- W3-2away to Banfield30 August 2026
- D2-2Velez Sarsfield23 August 2026
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Racing Club5 October 2026
- L1-2away to Belgrano Cordoba20 September 2026
- L1-2away to Instituto Cordoba15 September 2026
- L0-2Sarmiento Junin4 September 2026
- D1-1away to Huracan29 August 2026
What these results say
- River Plate scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- River Plate conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for River Plate had three goals or more.
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | River Plate | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 26 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- 22 March 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–2 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
River Plate
GoalsAssists
- T. Galván74
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
River Plate beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for River Plate at 63%. The goal: Marcos Acuña 6' for River Plate. On expected goals it finished 1.83–0.06.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave River Plate a 15.5% chance to finish in the top four: 18.9% after a win, 6.5% after a draw, 4.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 18.9%, 3.4 points higher than before the match.
For Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 98.2% going in: 92.7% after a win, 98.1% after a draw, 99.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 99.3%, 1.1 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on River Plate v Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has moved
First published on 27 Sep at 56% / 27% / 17% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 63% / 24% / 13%: the biggest move is River Plate's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- River Plate win63%▲ +7
- Draw24%▼ −3
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win13%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often River Plate's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.