Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Racing Club 0-2 Belgrano Cordoba.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Racing Club, 33% draw, 33% Belgrano Cordoba — fair odds of 2.94, 3.03 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Racing Club at 34%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25F. CambesesG
- 4E. CannavoD
- 38M. MartinezD
- 43G. EscuderoD
- 19I. RodríguezD
- 33L. PérezM
- 32L. DíazM
- 16D. OrtegozaM
- 20G. LodicoM
- 17T. ConechnyM
- 9A. MartínezF
- 10M. MiljevicM
- 5M. KranevitterM
- 2M. PérezD
- 30M. TagliamonteG
- 46A. TelloM
- 22E. TorresF
- 7D. VergaraF
- 11M. ZarachoM
- 24A. FernándezM
- 23M. VicentiniG
- 14L. MoralesD
- 2A. MaldonadoD
- 17Lisandro LópezD
- 3A. SpörleD
- 21A. SánchezM
- 20F. VázquezM
- 24E. RigoniM
- 10L. ZelarayánM
- 8R. HernandesM
- 9L. PasseriniF
- 26Alcides BenítezD
- 25T. CardozoG
- 45A. FalconD
- 22N. FernándezF
- 11F. GonzálezM
- 37L. GutierrezF
- 5S. LongoM
- 13Álvaro OcampoD
- 16F. RiccaD
Form going into Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba
Racing Club
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto5 October 2026
- W3-1Sarmiento Junin19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Huracan14 September 2026
- L1-2Atletico Tucuman7 September 2026
- L1-3away to Independiente Rivadavia31 August 2026
Belgrano Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Talleres Cordoba4 October 2026
- W2-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto20 September 2026
- D1-1away to Sarmiento Junin13 September 2026
- D1-1Huracan4 September 2026
- D0-0away to Atletico Tucuman30 August 2026
What these results say
- Racing Club scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Racing Club conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Racing Club had three goals or more.
- Belgrano Cordoba went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Belgrano Cordoba scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Belgrano Cordoba had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Racing Club | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
| 6 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba
- 19 August 2026Racing Club 1–0 Belgrano CordobaCopa Argentina
- 22 March 2026Belgrano Cordoba 1–2 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 July 2025Belgrano Cordoba 0–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 January 2025Racing Club 4–0 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 12 May 2024Belgrano Cordoba 4–4 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
The result against the call
Belgrano Cordoba won 2–0 at Racing Club. The model had leaned towards a win for Racing Club at 34% and given a win for Belgrano Cordoba 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Lucas Zelarayán 41' for Belgrano Cordoba, Franco Vázquez 90+5' for Belgrano Cordoba. On expected goals it finished 1.32–1.51.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Racing Club a 27.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 12.3% after a win, 29.0% after a draw, 40.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 40.9%, 13.7 points higher than before the match.
For Belgrano Cordoba the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 61.2% going in: 80.4% after a win, 59.9% after a draw, 45.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 80.4%, 19.2 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.