9 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar Premier League prediction & result

Lukoil Arena, Moscow
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Spartak Moscow 1-2 FC Krasnodar.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Spartak Moscow, 26% draw, 49% FC Krasnodar — fair odds of 4.00, 3.85 and 2.04.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Krasnodar at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Spartak Moscow0%Draw3%FC Krasnodar97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Ugaldeassist: Marquinhos
2'
5'
⚽L. Olazaassist: Douglas Augusto
10'
⚽Joao Batxiassist: N. Krivtsov
21'
Aleksandr Chernikov
🔁E. Barcoout: C. Martins
46'
66'
🔁A. Chernikovout: K. Lenini
🔁S. Babicout: M. Daku
68'
🔁M. Ugaldeout: D. Prutsev
75'
76'
Ilya Vakhaniya
Gedson Fernandes
79'
83'
🔁D. Vorobyevout: M. Ozdoev
🔁R. Zobninout: I. Dmitriev
84'
86'
🔁Christianout: V. Paltsev
90+4'
Jubal

Match stats — Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar

62%Possession38%
11Shots16
3On target4
6Corners7

Line-ups

Spartak Moscow 4-1-4-1
  • 98A. MaksimenkoG
  • 83G. FernandesD
  • 3C. WoohD
  • 6S. BabicD
  • 47R. ZobninD
  • 68R. LitvinovM
  • 7P. SolariM
  • 18N. UmyarovM
  • 5E. BarcoM
  • 10MarquinhosM
  • 9M. UgaldeF
Substitutes
  • 56A. DovbnyaG
  • 1I. PomazunG
  • 35C. MartinsM
  • 33V. ParadaD
  • 27I. DmitrievM
  • 4A. DjikuD
  • 25D. PrutsevM
  • 19M. DakuF
  • 97D. DenisovD
Coach: Carlos Carcedo Juan
FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1
  • 1S. AgkatsevG
  • 40I. VakhaniaD
  • 3V. TormenaD
  • 5Jubal JuniorD
  • 15L. OlazaD
  • 53A. ChernikovM
  • 8Douglas AugustoM
  • 18ChristianM
  • 88N. KrivtsovM
  • 11Joao BatxiM
  • 10D. VorobyevF
Substitutes
  • 16A. KoryakinG
  • 21M. OzdoevM
  • 47D. UtkinM
  • 6K. LeniniM
  • 4Diego CostaD
  • 17V. PaltsevD
  • 59A. KhmarinD
  • 67K. MukailovF
Coach: Murad Musaev

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Spartak Moscow149232711+1629
4FC Krasnodar147522518+726

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar

  • 24 May 2026Spartak Moscow 1–1 FC KrasnodarCup
  • 23 April 2026Spartak Moscow 1–2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
  • 2 November 2025FC Krasnodar 2–1 Spartak MoscowPremier League
  • 30 January 2025Spartak Moscow 3–2 FC KrasnodarFriendlies Clubs
  • 1 December 2024FC Krasnodar 0–3 Spartak MoscowPremier League

Leading scorers: Spartak Moscow and FC Krasnodar

Spartak Moscow

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ugalde60
  • M. Daku51

FC Krasnodar

GoalsAssists

  • J. Córdoba61
  • Batxi53
  • Christian34

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.