Remo vs Flamengo Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Remo 0-1 Flamengo.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Remo, 29% draw, 38% Flamengo — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Flamengo at 38% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Remo vs Flamengo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 88Marcelo RangelG
- 79MarcelinhoD
- 13MarllonD
- 18D. TchambaD
- 6MarlonD
- 14L. PiccoM
- 8PatrickM
- 22Yago PikachuM
- 55Ze RicardoM
- 21A. GaleanoM
- 19Gabriel TaliariF
- 97IvanG
- 27Ze IvaldoD
- 2Matheus AlexandreD
- 77MaykD
- 4Matheus FelipeD
- 35Edson FernandoM
- 26David BragaM
- 28Ze WelisonM
- 15Vitor BuenoF
- 1A. RossiG
- 22Emerson RoyalD
- 3Leo OrtizD
- 4Leo PereiraD
- 6Ayrton LucasD
- 21JorginhoM
- 20Lucas PaquetaM
- 15J. CarrascalM
- 10G. de ArrascaetaM
- 16Samuel LinoM
- 9PedroF
- 42A. da Silva VenturaG
- 13DaniloD
- 2G. VarelaD
- 77J. GoesD
- 8S. NiguezM
- 5E. PulgarM
- 18N. de la CruzM
- 27Bruno HenriqueF
- 7Luiz AraujoF
Form going into Remo vs Flamengo
Remo
- L2-3Coritiba31 August 2026
- L1-2away to Fluminense22 August 2026
- D1-1away to Internacional17 August 2026
- D2-2Atletico Mineiro8 August 2026
- L1-2away to Mirassol29 July 2026
Flamengo
- W2-0Mirassol2 September 2026
- W3-0Botafogo30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Cruzeiro22 August 2026
- W5-1away to Mirassol16 August 2026
- W2-0Vitoria9 August 2026
What these results say
- Remo did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Remo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Remo conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Flamengo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Flamengo won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 25 |
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58 | 25 | +33 | 64 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Remo and Flamengo
Remo
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 33 league goals as a side.
Flamengo
GoalsAssists
- Pedro166
- Samuel Lino97
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.