Reims vs Guingamp Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Reims 2-2 Guingamp.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Reims, 27% draw, 25% Guingamp — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Reims at 48% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Reims vs Guingamp
Line-ups
- 1T. HulsmannG
- 21J. MambukuD
- 28ElieD
- 22S. KottoD
- 27D. GuindoD
- 6T. LeoniM
- 30J. PatrickM
- 87M. TiaM
- 8Y. FofanaM
- 9M. DaramyM
- 10Y. El KachatiF
- 12E. OmeragicG
- 63A. ZohouriD
- 44M. Okwaro
- 5J. OtomewoD
- 61C. KouranfalM
- 62A. KashiF
- 7T. DiarrassoubaF
- 99S. SoumanoF
- 48A. GadouF
- 16A. OrtolaG
- 2E. KoffiD
- 7D. GomisD
- 36A. DemouchyD
- 5T. OllilaD
- 4D. LouiserreM
- 11T. AverlantM
- 21T. AhileM
- 25T. DucrocqM
- 20S. Ben BrahimM
- 18S. KieltF
- 1T. Bartouche-SelbonneG
- 39V. Muntu Wa Mungu
- 24J. DiangangaD
- 3J. MatumonaD
- 23J. ChamakhF
- 8F. Sanchez Da SilvaM
- 31J. MatondoM
- 17A. SamouraF
- 22B. BokanguM
Form going into Reims vs Guingamp
Reims
- W4-1away to RED Star FC 9329 August 2026
- W3-1Annecy24 August 2026
Guingamp
- D3-3Nantes29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sochaux21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Reims | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 13 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Reims vs Guingamp
- 21 March 2026Guingamp 0–2 ReimsLigue 2
- 16 August 2025Reims 1–0 GuingampLigue 2
- 26 January 2019Guingamp 0–1 ReimsLigue 1
- 24 November 2018Reims 2–1 GuingampLigue 1
- 19 March 2016Reims 0–1 GuingampLigue 1
- 2 December 2015Guingamp 1–2 ReimsLigue 1
Leading scorers: Reims and Guingamp
Reims
- Y. Fofana6 goals
- Y. El Kachati2 goals1 assist
Guingamp
- B. Bokangu4 goals
- D. Gomis2 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.