Regular Season - 5 · 4 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Laval vs RED Star FC 93 Ligue 2 prediction

Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval

The model makes it 26% Laval, 18% draw, 56% RED Star FC 93 — fair odds of 3.85, 5.56 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (7%).

Expected goals: Laval 1.96, RED Star FC 93 2.80.

Both teams to score: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%, under 2.5: 15%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

81%
Both teams to score
85%
Over 2.5 goals
15%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-2 7%2-2 6%1-3 6%

Form going into this match

Laval

  • W2-1Nantes14 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Rodez8 August 2026

RED Star FC 93

  • D0-0Sochaux14 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Nantes8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Laval210134-13
6RED Star FC 93211010+14

Where the two sides stand. Full tables

Head-to-head: Laval vs RED Star FC 93

  • 10 July 2026RED Star FC 93 2–1 LavalFriendlies Clubs
  • 3 April 2026RED Star FC 93 0–0 LavalLigue 2
  • 18 October 2025Laval 0–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
  • 10 January 2025Laval 1–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
  • 20 September 2024RED Star FC 93 0–3 LavalLigue 2
  • 6 May 2022Laval 2–2 RED Star FC 93Ligue 3

Leading scorers

Laval

  • E. Clavreul1 goals1 assists
  • M. Houdayer1 goals

RED Star FC 93

No league goals recorded yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

The two sides

Laval carry a model rating of 6.55 against 6.84 for RED Star FC 93. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

Recent form (most recent last): Laval L-W; RED Star FC 93 W-D.

The model expects goals

Under the hood the model expects 1.96 goals for Laval and 2.80 for RED Star FC 93. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

Laval rate 0.95 in attack and 1.87 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; RED Star FC 93 rate 1.07 and 1.09.

That points to 85% for over two and a half goals and 81% for both teams to score.

The three most likely scorelines are 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 1-3 (6%).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 480 correct results out of 1000 settled predictions (48%), with 91 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives RED Star FC 93 the highest probability at 56%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.96 expected goals for Laval against 2.8 for RED Star FC 93. Laval's attack/defence rating is 0.95/1.87 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.07/1.09 for RED Star FC 93.