RED Star FC 93
vs
Nancy
Ligue 2 prediction
Our model says: RED Star FC 93 1–0 Nancy
The model makes it 44% RED Star FC 93, 28% draw, 28% Nancy — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: RED Star FC 93 1.49, Nancy 1.08.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 1,986 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 19 October 2026. RED Star FC 93's rating is built from 43 Ligue 2 matches and Nancy's from 43, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 699 matches.
Key facts
- RED Star FC 93 are 3rd on 17 points from 9 games; Nancy are 4th on 16 points from 9 games — Ligue 2.
- RED Star FC 93 have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Saint Etienne.
- Nancy are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Annecy.
- Last 6 meetings: RED Star FC 93 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 13 February 2026, ended RED Star FC 93 2–1 Nancy.
More Ligue 2 predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy
Has the model earned this number?
It puts RED Star FC 93 at 44% here. Across 4,271 settled matches (as of 19 October 2026), 1,987 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy
RED Star FC 93
- L0-1Saint Etienne17 October 2026
- W3-2away to Clermont Foot10 October 2026
- W3-1away to Guingamp19 September 2026
- W1-0Metz14 September 2026
- W2-1away to Laval4 September 2026
Nancy
- W2-1away to Annecy16 October 2026
- W1-0Guingamp9 October 2026
- W4-3away to Rodez18 September 2026
- L1-2Reims11 September 2026
- L0-1away to Nantes7 September 2026
What these results say
- RED Star FC 93 won 4 of these 5 matches.
- RED Star FC 93 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- RED Star FC 93 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Nancy scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Nancy conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | RED Star FC 93 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 17 |
| 4 | Nancy | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy
- 13 February 2026RED Star FC 93 2–1 NancyLigue 2
- 19 September 2025Nancy 0–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- 22 March 2024RED Star FC 93 1–1 NancyLigue 3
- 11 October 2023Nancy 1–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 3
- 17 April 2023Nancy 1–4 RED Star FC 93Ligue 3
- 25 November 2022RED Star FC 93 1–0 NancyLigue 3
Leading scorers: RED Star FC 93 and Nancy
RED Star FC 93
GoalsAssists
- D. Durand50
- J. Ikanga A Ngele42
Nancy
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
RED Star FC 93 carry a model rating of 6.49 against 6.42 for Nancy. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.49 goals for RED Star FC 93 and 1.08 for Nancy. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
RED Star FC 93 rate 0.69 in attack and 1.42 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Nancy rate 0.62 and 1.46.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives RED Star FC 93 a 8.3% chance of the title and Nancy 3.6%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,058 correct results out of 4,279 settled predictions (48%), with 431 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives RED Star FC 93 the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.49 expected goals for RED Star FC 93 against 1.08 for Nancy. RED Star FC 93's attack/defence rating is 0.69/1.42 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.46 for Nancy.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
RED Star FC 93 at home · Nancy away
League matches only, Ligue 2, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
RED Star FC 93Nancy
RED Star FC 93 are 3rd after 9 Ligue 2 matches (between 1st and 8th so far); Nancy are 4th after 9 (between 2nd and 15th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 2 matches this season: RED Star FC 93 9, Nancy 9.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
RED Star FC 93
- at Dijon6 Nov · Ligue 2win 34%
- vs PAU20 Nov · Ligue 2win 47%
- at Dunkerque4 Dec · Ligue 2win 35%
- vs Grenoble11 Dec · Ligue 2win 49%
Nancy
- vs Sochaux6 Nov · Ligue 2win 41%
- vs Dijon20 Nov · Ligue 2win 40%
- at Saint Etienne4 Dec · Ligue 2win 23%
- vs Clermont Foot11 Dec · Ligue 2win 42%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.