Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Real Sociedad II 0-1 Mallorca.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Real Sociedad II, 29% draw, 37% Mallorca — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Mallorca at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca
Line-ups
- 1Aitor FragaG
- 22RupérezD
- 29Iker RoperoD
- 5K. KitaD
- 3Jon BaldaD
- 14Tomás CarbonellM
- 8Ibai AguirreM
- 7Dani DíazM
- 16Gorka GorosabelM
- 17Lander AstiazaránM
- 18Gorka CarreraF
- 23Unax AgoteD
- 21Jon EceizabarrenaM
- 13T. FolgadoG
- 2Jon GarroD
- 6A. LebarbierM
- 24A. UnaxD
- 10Arkaitz MariezkurrenaF
- 32Lander OlasagastiG
- 12J. OleagaM
- 1Arnau TenasG
- 34M. CalatayudD
- 24M. ValjentD
- 21RaílloD
- 22A. SouhmahoroD
- 7Álex SalaM
- 10DarderM
- 8Manu MorlanesM
- 33Adrian LisoM
- 18FuentesF
- 20Pablo TorreF
- 13L. BergströmG
- 16A. BuksaF
- 19Josep CerdàF
- 25Iván CuéllarG
- 2Guille FernándezM
- 3Toni LatoD
- 5Alberto MorenoD
- 15John NwankwoD
- 17Arnau PuigmalM
Form going into Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca
Real Sociedad II
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to FC Andorra12 September 2026
- D1-1Tenerife5 September 2026
- D2-2away to Burgos31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Albacete22 August 2026
- L0-1Castellón14 August 2026
Mallorca
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Sabadell13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Eldense5 September 2026
- W3-0AD Ceuta FC30 August 2026
- L0-2away to Granada CF24 August 2026
- W2-0Valladolid15 August 2026
What these results say
- Real Sociedad II conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Real Sociedad II scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Real Sociedad II.
- Mallorca kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Mallorca had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Real Sociedad II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 8 |
| 7 | Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Real Sociedad II and Mallorca
Real Sociedad II
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Mallorca
GoalsAssists
- Fuentes61
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Mallorca won 1–0 at Real Sociedad II. The model had made a win for Mallorca its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Adrian Fuentes 81' for Mallorca.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.