FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijon Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: FC Andorra 1-3 Sporting Gijon.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% FC Andorra, 29% draw, 33% Sporting Gijon — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Andorra at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijon
Line-ups
- 25Jesús OwonoG
- 17T. CarriqueD
- 5Marc BombardóD
- 23Diego AlendeD
- 18Andoni LópezD
- 10Marc DomènechM
- 14Sergio MolinaM
- 8E. AkmanM
- 11L. de LeónF
- 9Julian Dean RijkhoffF
- 29Hugo LópezF
- 19Nacho QuintanaM
- 15Jordi CanoM
- 22D. DiazM
- 13Pau LópezG
- 28T. OlmedoM
- 3L. SpatzD
- 6Hugo SolozábalM
- 21Moró SidibeF
- 2Juan SerranoD
- 1Rubén YáñezG
- 24Aimar DuñabeitiaD
- 15Pablo VázquezD
- 44Andrés CuencaD
- 2Guille RosasM
- 8M. RodriguezM
- 14Álex CorrederaM
- 3Pablo GarcíaM
- 20N. IosifovM
- 10César GelabertM
- 19J. OteroF
- 4E. GularteD
- 5Diego SánchezD
- 23Jorge SáenzD
- 16A. SarcoF
- 36B. RubioM
- 26Iker MartínezD
- 6Nacho MartínM
- 21M. LoumM
- 35C. FerreresM
Form going into FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijon
FC Andorra
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Real Sociedad II12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Valladolid5 September 2026
- L0-1Eibar30 August 2026
- L2-4away to Celta de Vigo II24 August 2026
- W5-1AD Ceuta FC15 August 2026
Sporting Gijon
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Eldense13 September 2026
- L0-2Girona5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Tenerife28 August 2026
- W1-0Burgos23 August 2026
- D0-0Sabadell17 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Andorra conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Andorra failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Sporting Gijon had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijon
- 8 March 2026FC Andorra 1–0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- 28 November 2025Sporting Gijon 1–1 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 11 May 2024Sporting Gijon 5–2 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 23 September 2023FC Andorra 0–0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- 19 February 2023FC Andorra 1–0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
Leading scorers: FC Andorra and Sporting Gijon
FC Andorra
GoalsAssists
- Jordi Cano52
Sporting Gijon
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sporting Gijon won 3–1 at FC Andorra. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Andorra at 38% and given a win for Sporting Gijon 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Aimar Duñabeitia 7' for Sporting Gijon, Jordi Cano 48' for FC Andorra, Antonio Manuel Casas Marin 66' for Sporting Gijon, Nikita Iosifov 90+7' for Sporting Gijon.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.