27 September 2026, 01:30 UTC

Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution Major League Soccer prediction & result

America First Field, Sandy
Referee: Ricardo Fierro
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Real Salt Lake 3-0 New England Revolution.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Real Salt Lake, 28% draw, 42% New England Revolution — fair odds of 3.33, 3.57 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts New England Revolution at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Real Salt Lake99%Draw1%New England Revolution0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Aiden Hezarkhani
2'
45+2'
Carles Gil
Morgan Guilavogui
46'
58'
🔁Luca Daniel·Langoniout: Cody Baker
58'
🔁Wilson Harrisout: Griffin Yow
61'
Joshua Wynder
⚽Sergi Solansassist: Noel Caliskan
62'
68'
🔁Joshua Wynderout: Javaun Mussenden
🔁Aiden Hezarkhaniout: Colin Guske
75'
Rafael
75'
⚽Sergi Solansassist: Morgan Guilavogui
80'
🔁Sergi Solansout: Lineker Rodrigues
86'
86'
🔁Matt Polsterout: Marcos Zambrano Delgado
86'
🔁Carles Gilout: Diego Fagúndez
🔁Morgan Guilavoguiout: Jason Shokalook
89'

Match stats — Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution

33%Possession67%
9Shots16
6On target4
1Corners11

Line-ups

Real Salt Lake 3-4-3
  • 1Rafael CabralG
  • 2D. YedlinD
  • 26P. QuintonD
  • 3K. HenryD
  • 11D. MarczukM
  • 6S. SpieringsM
  • 92N. CaliskanM
  • 29S. JunquaM
  • 39A. HezarkhaniF
  • 22S. SolansF
  • 9M. GuilavoguiF
Substitutes
  • 18T. BoothF
  • 14E. EneliM
  • 25Colin GuskeM
  • 24M. KerkvlietG
  • 70Lineker RodriguesF
  • 13Jason ShokalookF
  • 31M. StajduharG
  • 88L. ReamD
  • 76L. O'GaraM
Coach: P. Mastroeni
New England Revolution 4-2-3-1
  • 30M. TurnerG
  • 8M. PolsterD
  • 66J. WynderD
  • 2M. FofanaD
  • 23W. SandsD
  • 22E. KohlerM
  • 14J. YueillM
  • 41L. LangoniM
  • 10Carles GilM
  • 16D. GazdagM
  • 27W. HarrisF
Substitutes
  • 57J. MussendenM
  • 33D. ParisianG
  • 6T. SmithD
  • 7G. YowF
  • 17Marcos Zambrano-DelgadoF
  • 77D. FagundezM
  • 4T. BeasonD
  • 15C. BakerD
  • 67M. WellsM
Coach: M. Mićović

Form going into Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution

Real Salt Lake

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Seattle Sounders24 September 2026
  • L0-3Vancouver Whitecaps20 September 2026
  • L0-2New York City FC13 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Houston Dynamo10 September 2026
  • D2-2Los Angeles FC6 September 2026

New England Revolution

All competitions we cover

  • W4-2Orlando City SC19 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Chicago Fire13 September 2026
  • W2-1away to New York City FC10 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Los Angeles Galaxy6 September 2026
  • W3-1away to Columbus Crew30 August 2026

What these results say

  • Real Salt Lake did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Real Salt Lake conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • New England Revolution scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • New England Revolution conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for New England Revolution had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Real Salt Lake32126145049+142
2New England Revolution32184105444+1058

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution

  • 1 September 2024Real Salt Lake 2–0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • 13 March 2022New England Revolution 2–3 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
  • 21 September 2019New England Revolution 0–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
  • 19 October 2018Real Salt Lake 4–1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • 13 May 2017New England Revolution 4–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Real Salt Lake and New England Revolution

Real Salt Lake

GoalsAssists

  • S. Solans144

New England Revolution

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 54 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Real Salt Lake beat New England Revolution 3–0. The model had leaned towards a win for New England Revolution at 42% and given a win for Real Salt Lake 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Aiden Hezarkhani 2' for Real Salt Lake, Sergi Solans 62' for Real Salt Lake, Sergi Solans 80' for Real Salt Lake.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.