27 September 2026, 02:30 UTC

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids Major League Soccer prediction & result

Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles
Referee: Armando Villarreal
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Colorado Rapids.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Los Angeles Galaxy, 30% draw, 33% Colorado Rapids — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Los Angeles Galaxy at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
⚽Donavan Phillipassist: Joshua Atencio
10'
Keegan Rosenberry
31'
Rob Holding
39'
⚽Paxten Aaronsonassist: Rob Holding
Pablo Ruiz
46'
53'
Joshua Atencio
⚽Reggie Cannon (OG)
53'
🔁Lucas Felipe·Calegariout: Marco Reus
61'
⚽Klauss
66'
67'
🔁Joshua Atencioout: Hamzat Ojediran
⚽Justin Haakassist: Robert Taylor
74'
76'
🔁Keegan Rosenberryout: Darren Yapi
🔁Sergi Robertoout: Lucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole
76'
83'
🔁Rob Holdingout: Noah Cobb
83'
🔁Jackson Travisout: Alexander Dean Harris
🔁Robert Taylorout: Maya Yoshida
84'
🔁Klaussout: Kyogo Furuhashi
84'

Match stats — Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids

40%Possession60%
16Shots9
7On target4
5Corners6

Line-ups

Los Angeles Galaxy 4-4-2
  • 12J. MarcinkowskiG
  • 2CalegariD
  • 5J. GlesnesD
  • 15J. HaakD
  • 14J. NelsonD
  • 26Harbor MillerM
  • 17P. RuizM
  • 6Sergi RobertoM
  • 21R. TaylorM
  • 27E. ThommyF
  • 99KlaussF
Substitutes
  • 3J. AudeD
  • 76T. ElgersmaM
  • 7K. FuruhashiF
  • 25C. GarcésD
  • 1N. MićovićG
  • 18M. ReusM
  • 8L. SanabriaM
  • 22E. WynderM
  • 4M. YoshidaD
Coach: Greg Vanney
Colorado Rapids 4-3-3
  • 41N. DefreitasG
  • 4R. CannonD
  • 6R. HoldingD
  • 5Loïc WilliamsD
  • 29M. NavarroD
  • 12J. AtencioM
  • 2K. RosenberryM
  • 99J. TravisM
  • 7M. WhittakerF
  • 32D. PhillipF
  • 10P. AaronsonF
Substitutes
  • 24N. CobbD
  • 16A. HarrisF
  • 8H. OjediranM
  • 27K. Stewart-BaynesF
  • 33K. ThompsonD
  • 77D. YapiF
  • 44C. AquinoM
  • 31A. BeaudryG
  • 66J. De La FuenteM
Coach: Matt Wells

Form going into Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to Minnesota United FC20 September 2026
  • D1-1Seattle Sounders13 September 2026
  • L0-3away to Vancouver Whitecaps10 September 2026
  • W2-1New England Revolution6 September 2026
  • L1-3away to San Diego30 August 2026

Colorado Rapids

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3Seattle Sounders20 September 2026
  • W1-0CF Montreal13 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Austin10 September 2026
  • L0-3away to Columbus Crew5 September 2026
  • W1-0Real Salt Lake30 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Los Angeles Galaxy321011114554-941
7Colorado Rapids32127134443+143

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids

  • 8 March 2026Colorado Rapids 4–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 24 August 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 3–0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
  • 26 June 2025Colorado Rapids 2–0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 2 November 2024Colorado Rapids 1–4 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer

The result against the call

Los Angeles Galaxy beat Colorado Rapids 3–2. The model had made a win for Los Angeles Galaxy its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Donavan Phillip 4' for Colorado Rapids, Paxten Aaronson 39' for Colorado Rapids, Reggie Cannon (own goal) 53' for Los Angeles Galaxy, Klauss 66' for Los Angeles Galaxy, Justin Haak 74' for Los Angeles Galaxy.

How the call on Los Angeles Galaxy v Colorado Rapids has moved

First published on 13 Sep at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 37% / 30% / 33%: the biggest move is Los Angeles Galaxy's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Los Angeles Galaxy win37%▼ −3
  2. Draw30%▲ +1
  3. Colorado Rapids win33%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.