Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Real Salt Lake, 27% draw, 32% Minnesota United FC — fair odds of 2.44, 3.70 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Real Salt Lake at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 26P. QuintonD
- 21J. J. AriasD
- 4L. EngelD
- 23Z. BoothM
- 6S. SpieringsM
- 92N. CaliskanM
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 10D. LunaF
- 70Lineker RodriguesF
- 22S. SolansF
- 31M. StajduharG
- 98A. KatranisD
- 3K. HenryD
- 29S. JunquaD
- 7P. RuizM
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 12S. LobjanidzeM
- 11D. MarczukF
- 17V. OlatunjiF
- 12D. CallenderG
- 28J. DiazD
- 15M. BoxallD
- 23M. DugganD
- 3K. DuncanM
- 30O. GeneM
- 20W. TrappM
- 13A. MarkanichM
- 26J. PereyraF
- 29M. DiengF
- 8T. ChancalayF
- 1A. SmirG
- 2D. PadelfordD
- 67C. HarveyM
- 24J. GresselM
- 7D. FitzM
- 21B. HlongwaneF
- 22M. CaldeiraF
- 9K. YeboahF
- 18M. GonzalezF
Form going into Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to St. Louis City2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Portland Timbers26 July 2026
- L1-3away to Los Angeles FC23 July 2026
Minnesota United FC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1San Diego2 August 2026
- D0-0Vancouver Whitecaps26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Sporting Kansas City23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC
- 23 May 2026Minnesota United FC 1–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 24 August 2025Real Salt Lake 1–3 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 30 March 2025Minnesota United FC 2–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 28 January 2025Real Salt Lake 1–1 Minnesota United FCFriendlies Clubs
- 3 November 2024Minnesota United FC 1–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
GoalsAssists
- S. Solans154
Minnesota United FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Yeboah184
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Real Salt Lake at 41% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: S. Solans 82' for Real Salt Lake, J. Pereyra 89' for Minnesota United FC. On expected goals it finished 2.39–2.05.