Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Colorado Rapids 2-0 Sporting Kansas City.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Colorado Rapids, 27% draw, 28% Sporting Kansas City — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Colorado Rapids at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 41N. HansenG
- 4R. CannonD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 5L. WilliamsD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 13W. FrederickM
- 12J. AtencioM
- 7D. SealyM
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 93G. MinoungouM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 24N. CobbD
- 8H. OjediranM
- 88Y. MazizM
- 77D. YapiF
- 16A. HarrisF
- 32D. PhillipF
- 30S. ClevelandG
- 8J. DavisD
- 3M. MosqueraD
- 5O. BlorianD
- 18E. KaricD
- 93S. SuleymanovM
- 20K. AgyabengM
- 22Z. BassongM
- 7CapitaM
- 9D. JoveljicF
- 11C. HarrisF
- 1J. PulskampG
- 15J. MillerD
- 99J. ReidD
- 16J. BartlettD
- 2I. JamesD
- 28W. MeyerD
- 6M. GarciaM
- 17S. AfrifaF
- 19T. CalheiraF
Form going into Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Austin2 August 2026
- L0-1away to St. Louis City26 July 2026
- W1-0San Diego23 July 2026
Sporting Kansas City
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Houston Dynamo2 August 2026
- L0-4away to Los Angeles FC26 July 2026
- W2-1Minnesota United FC23 July 2026
- L2-3away to St. Louis City17 July 2026
What these results say
- Sporting Kansas City conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Sporting Kansas City failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Sporting Kansas City had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City
- 22 March 2026Sporting Kansas City 1–4 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 31 August 2025Sporting Kansas City 4–2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 5 July 2025Colorado Rapids 1–2 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- 19 September 2024Sporting Kansas City 4–1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 5 July 2024Colorado Rapids 2–1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- 9 April 2023Sporting Kansas City 0–1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
The result against the call
Colorado Rapids beat Sporting Kansas City 2–0. The model had made a win for Colorado Rapids its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: R. Cannon 65' for Colorado Rapids, Rafael Navarro 90' for Colorado Rapids. Sent off: Kwaku Agyabeng (Sporting Kansas City) 38', Moises Mosquera (Sporting Kansas City) 90+2'. On expected goals it finished 2.92–0.98.