Nashville SC vs Inter Miami Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Nashville SC 4-1 Inter Miami.
Before kick-off the model made it 19% Nashville SC, 20% draw, 61% Inter Miami — fair odds of 5.26, 5.00 and 1.64.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Inter Miami at 61%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Nashville SC vs Inter Miami
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99B. SchwakeG
- 31A. NajarD
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 3M. WoledziD
- 27R. Baker-WhitingD
- 20E. TagsethM
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 11E. SaadM
- 7C. EspinozaF
- 10H. MukhtarF
- 9S. SurridgeF
- 1J. WillisG
- 5J. MaherD
- 22J. BauerD
- 2D. LovitzD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 26F. CamaraM
- 37A. QasemF
- 14S. MohammedM
- 19A. MuylM
- 34R. RiosG
- 4F. MuraD
- 17I. FrayD
- 2G. LujanD
- 3S. ReguilonD
- 5CasemiroM
- 7R. de PaulM
- 42Y. BrightM
- 8T. SegoviaM
- 10L. MessiF
- 9L. SuarezF
- 97D. St.ClairG
- 37M. FalconD
- 32N. AllenD
- 22D. AyalaM
- 15F. CaicedoD
- 41D. RuizM
- 59P. PlambeckM
- 56D. PinterF
- 54L. DelinoisF
Form going into Nashville SC vs Inter Miami
Nashville SC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to DC United1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Orlando City SC25 July 2026
- W1-0CF Montreal23 July 2026
- W1-0Atlanta United FC18 July 2026
Inter Miami
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Columbus Crew1 August 2026
- W1-0away to CF Montreal25 July 2026
- W3-2Chicago Fire22 July 2026
What these results say
- Nashville SC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Nashville SC had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nashville SC vs Inter Miami
- 18 March 2026Inter Miami 1–1 Nashville SCCONCACAF Champions League
- 11 March 2026Nashville SC 0–0 Inter MiamiCONCACAF Champions League
- 9 November 2025Inter Miami 4–0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- 1 November 2025Nashville SC 2–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- 25 October 2025Inter Miami 3–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- 18 October 2025Nashville SC 2–5 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Nashville SC and Inter Miami
Nashville SC
GoalsAssists
- S. Surridge211
- H. Mukhtar167
Inter Miami
GoalsAssists
- L. Messi2613
- L. Suárez166
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Nashville SC beat Inter Miami 4–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Inter Miami at 61% and given a win for Nashville SC 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: A. Najar 17' for Nashville SC, T. Segovia 45' for Inter Miami, H. Mukhtar 49' for Nashville SC, S. Surridge 56' for Nashville SC, H. Mukhtar 63' for Nashville SC. On expected goals it finished 2.41–1.83.