Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Houston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Houston Dynamo, 23% draw, 22% Los Angeles Galaxy — fair odds of 1.82, 4.35 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Houston Dynamo at 55%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31J. BondG
- 11L. EnnaliD
- 34A. ReschD
- 5Lucas HalterD
- 21F. NegriD
- 6ArturM
- 19M. BoguszM
- 8J. McGlynnM
- 16H. HerreraM
- 20GuilhermeM
- 23D. McGuireF
- 26B. GillinghamG
- 28E. SviatchenkoD
- 3Antonio CarlosD
- 13S. VinesD
- 18D. SamassekouM
- 30A. BouzatM
- 14D. HolmesM
- 9O. LingrM
- 24I. AliyuF
- 12J. MarcinkowskiG
- 26H. MillerD
- 5J. GlesnesD
- 4M. YoshidaD
- 14J. NelsonD
- 15J. HaakM
- 22E. WynderM
- 28J. PaintsilM
- 8L. SanabriaM
- 21R. TaylorM
- 7K. FuruhashiF
- 1N. MicovicG
- 3J. AudeD
- 25C. GarcesD
- 20C. RindovD
- 16I. ParenteM
- 24R. RamosF
- 76T. ElgersmaM
- 11H. LozanoF
Form going into Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to New England Revolution8 August 2026
- W2-0away to Sporting Kansas City2 August 2026
- W3-0Austin26 July 2026
- D1-1DC United23 July 2026
Los Angeles Galaxy
All competitions we cover
- D0-0FC Dallas2 August 2026
- D1-1away to San Jose Earthquakes26 July 2026
- L1-3St. Louis City23 July 2026
- L0-3Los Angeles FC18 July 2026
What these results say
- Houston Dynamo went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Houston Dynamo scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Houston Dynamo won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Los Angeles Galaxy did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Los Angeles Galaxy conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy
- 24 May 2026Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 7 September 2025Houston Dynamo 1–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 13 April 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 20 October 2024Houston Dynamo 2–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 26 May 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 3 September 2023Los Angeles Galaxy 0–0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo
GoalsAssists
- Guilherme168
Los Angeles Galaxy
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 50 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Houston Dynamo beat Los Angeles Galaxy 1–0. The model had made a win for Houston Dynamo its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Guilherme (penalty) 21' for Houston Dynamo. Sent off: Carlos Garcés (Los Angeles Galaxy) 58', Ibrahim Aliyu (Houston Dynamo) 90+11'. On expected goals it finished 1.29–0.96.